Utah State Aggies vs Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAF Betting Prediction

NCAAF Utah State Aggies vs Vanderbilt Prediction 9/27

The Utah State Aggies will take on the Vanderbilt Commodores on Saturday, September 27, 2025. This Week 5 game will be held at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN. Kickoff is set for 12:45 PM and will be broadcast on SECN.

Utah State vs. Vanderbilt Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Utah State Aggies +1056. Utah State has been strong as an underdog, with a perfect 9-0 record in over/under games when in this position. Despite their road struggles, their potential payout makes them an intriguing value pick.
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 59.5. Both teams have shown they can score, with Utah State’s games going over in their last 9 as underdogs. Vanderbilt’s recent high-scoring games also suggest the over is a solid choice.

Team Trends

  • Utah State Aggies have a road record of 0-1 this season.
  • Vanderbilt Commodores are ranked #18 in the AP poll and #20 in the Coaches Poll.
  • Vanderbilt Commodores have a perfect home record of 2-0 this season.
  • Utah State Aggies scored 48 points against McNeese State in their last home game.
  • Vanderbilt Commodores scored 70 points against Georgia State in their last home game.

Utah State vs Vanderbilt Preview

The Utah State Aggies are heading to Nashville with a 3-1 record. They have excelled at home but have yet to win on the road this season. Currently, they are on a two-game win streak and hold a conference record of 1-0 in the Mountain West. This game is a chance for them to improve their road performance.

The Vanderbilt Commodores are unbeaten with a 4-0 record. They hold the 18th spot in the AP rankings and 20th in the Coaches Poll. The Commodores are strong both at home and on the road, maintaining a perfect 2-0 record in both. Their last game was a victory over Georgia Tech in the Birmingham Bowl. They will look to continue their winning streak in this Week 5 game.

Vanderbilt’s Stellar Start

The Vanderbilt Commodores are ranked #18 in the AP poll and #20 in the Coaches poll. They play in the Southeastern Conference and call FirstBank Stadium their home. This season, they hold a perfect record of 4-0, with a 2-0 record both at home and on the road.

Quarterback Diego Pavia leads the team with impressive stats, playing in four games. He has thrown for 890 passing yards, ranking first on the team, with eight passing touchdowns. Running back Sedrick Alexander has also been a key player, rushing for 210 yards and four touchdowns in four games.

The team’s offense has scored 190 points this season, ranking sixth nationally. They have gained 1,034 passing yards and 900 rushing yards, standing at 34th and 16th in the nation, respectively. Defensively, Vanderbilt has only allowed 51 points, ranking 27th, and they lead the nation in fumbles recovered with five.

Utah State’s Strong Start

The Utah State Aggies are competing in the Mountain West Conference. They play at Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium. So far, they have a season record of 3-1 with all wins coming at home.

Quarterback Bryson Barnes leads the Aggies with 982 passing yards and eight touchdowns. Miles Davis is the top running back with 310 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Braden Pegan stands out among wide receivers with 303 receiving yards and three touchdowns.

The Aggies have scored 147 points this season, ranking 20th nationally in points for. Defensively, they have allowed 97 points, ranking 67th. They are coming off a 48-7 win over McNeese State, showing strong performance on both sides of the ball.

Final Betting Pick

Utah State Aggies are a strong pick for the money line at +1056. They have a perfect record in over/under games as underdogs, going 9-0. Even though they struggle on the road, their high potential payout makes them an interesting choice.

The over 59.5 is also a solid pick. Utah State’s games have consistently gone over when they are the underdog. Vanderbilt’s recent games have been high-scoring, like their 70-21 win over Georgia State. This trend suggests a high-scoring game is likely.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change. **All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk. Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.