Oklahoma State Cowboys vs SMU Mustangs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs SMU Mustangs Prediction 3/23/2025

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (15-18) travel to face off against the SMU Mustangs (23-11) on Sunday, March 23rd. This game will be played at Moody Coliseum in Dallas and televised on ESPN2. Both Oklahoma State and SMU will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 3:00 ET.

Oklahoma State Cowboys vs SMU Mustangs

The Cowboys Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Oklahoma State Cowboys Recent Game/Games

Oklahoma State’s season took another hit with an 87-68 loss to Cincinnati on Tuesday, dropping their record to 15-18. The Cowboys were +6.5 point underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 155, surpassing the O/U line of 137.5.

After trailing 38-26 at halftime, Oklahoma State’s defense struggled in the 2nd half, allowing 49 points while scoring 42 of their own.

The Mustangs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

SMU Mustangs Recent Game/Games

SMU fell to 23-11 on the season after a narrow 57-54 loss to Clemson on Thursday. The Mustangs, who were +7 underdogs, managed to cover the spread in the road game.

SMU trailed 28-27 at halftime and scored 27 points in the 2nd half while allowing 29. The game’s total points of 111 fell well short of the O/U line of 143.

Cowboys Offense Breakdown

Oklahoma State put up 68 points in their last game, shooting 44.6% from the field and 44.4% from beyond the arc, connecting on 8 of 18 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 51.8%, but they struggled at the free-throw line, hitting just 52.6% of their shots.

Dillon Mitchell was a force on the boards, grabbing 15 rebounds to go along with 18 points and 5 assists. Day Day Thomas and Josh Reed each contributed 21 and 19 points, respectively, with Reed shooting 66.7% from the field. Connor Dow was also efficient, hitting 4 of 5 threes.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

In their last game, SMU’s offense struggled, putting up just 54 points with a field goal percentage of 40% (22/55). Their effective field goal percentage also sat at 40%, largely due to a dismal 7.1% shooting from beyond the arc, hitting just 1 of 14 attempts.

Inside the arc, the Mustangs connected on 51.2% of their two-point shots (21/41) and went 9/13 from the free-throw line (69.2%). They recorded 9 offensive rebounds and 9 assists in the game.

Cowboys Team Defense

Even with Oklahoma State putting up 87 points, their defense couldn’t hold up, as they allowed their opponent to shoot 44% from the field. The Cowboys gave up 17 two-point baskets on 38 attempts, also at a 44% clip.

From beyond the arc, Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 8 threes on 18 attempts, again at 44%. They did manage to limit damage at the free-throw line, where their opponent shot just 52% on 19 attempts, making 10. Oklahoma State also allowed 13 offensive rebounds.

Mustangs Team Defense

Oklahoma State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 87 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 44% from the field. They conceded 17 two-point field goals on 38 attempts, also at a 44% clip.

From beyond the arc, Oklahoma State allowed 8 threes on 18 attempts, again at 44%. The opposing team shot 52% from the free-throw line, making 10 of 19. Oklahoma State also gave up 13 offensive rebounds.

Cowboys vs Mustangs Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Oklahoma State has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 0-3 while averaging 65 points per game.
  • In their last five home games, SMU has averaged 73 points per game while allowing 71. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Cowboys have gone 3-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, SMU has an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 8-2 straight up.

Cowboys vs Mustangs Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Mustangs vs. Mustangs game, our recommendation is to take the Mustangs at -9.5. Despite our model showing the Mustangs winning 77-69, we like Cowboys as our point-spread pick.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 154.5, and our model projects the Cowboys and Mustangs to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.