The Baylor Bears (14-3) travel to face off against the Texas Longhorns (12-5) on Saturday, January 20th. This game will be played at Moody Center in Austin and televised on ESPN. Baylor is coming off a win in their previous game, while Texas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the UCF. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.
Baylor Bears vs Texas Longhorns
The Baylor Bears Are Coming Off A Win
After winning their last five games, Baylor heads into tonight’s game as the underdog. So far this season, the Bears have gone 14-3, including a 3-0 mark in Big 12 play. On the road, they are 2-2, and their average scoring margin is -2.8.
Coming off a 62-59 win over Cincinnati, Baylor’s record as the underdog this year is 1-1. Over their last 10 games on the road, they have gone 4-6. Overall, they have been favored in 13 games, going 12-1.
When it comes to covering the spread this season, Baylor has a solid record of 10-5. However, their ATS mark on the road is just 1-3. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears have gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Baylor’s games this season (150.2). This year, the over/under record in their games is 8-7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points.
The Texas Longhorns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
After losing two straight games, Texas will look to get back on track as they host Baylor. The Longhorns have been much better at home this season, going 10-3 compared to 2-2 on the road. They are also 11-3 as the favorite compared to 1-2 as the underdog.
Overall, Texas is 12-5 this season, including a 1-3 record in Big 12 play. Their average scoring margin at home is +15.1 compared to -5.5 on the road. In their last game, the Longhorns fell to UCF by a score of 77-71.
As the favorite, Texas has struggled against the spread this season, going just 4-10 vs. the spread. Their ATS mark at home is currently 4-9 and they have not fared well vs. the spread in their last three home games (0-3) or as the favorite in their last three games (0-3).
Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 146.4 in Texas’ games this season. So far, 13 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last five games, the average scoring total is 145 points compared to the season average of 144.4 points per game. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0.
Baylor Offense Breakdown
Against Cincinnati, the Baylor had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 84.8 points per game. They scored 62 points and posted a field goal percentage of 45.8% in the game. The top scorer for the Bears was Ja’Kobe Walter with 14 points, while Langston Love also chipped in with 14 points.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ja’Kobe Walter (G) | 14.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 |
| RayJ Dennis (G) | 13.4 | 4.0 | 6.4 |
| Langston Love (G) | 11.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 |
Texas Offense Breakdown
The Texas offense is coming off a game in which they scored 71 points vs. UCF. Overall their field goal percentage was 50% while connecting on 10 threes. The top scorer for the Longhorns was Ithiel Horton with 20 points, while Dillon Mitchell also chipped in with 15 points.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Max Abmas (G) | 17.8 | 2.8 | 4.3 |
| Tyrese Hunter (G) | 11.4 | 2.5 | 4.0 |
| Dillon Mitchell (F) | 11.3 | 8.8 | 1.7 |
Baylor Team Defense
At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 97th in the country, permitting 68.8 points per game. Against Cincinnati in their most recent game, the Baylor defense gave up a total of 59 points while allowing Cincinnati to hit 45% of their shots.
Texas Team Defense
At this time, the Longhorns’ defense is positioned 72nd in the country, permitting 67.1 points per game. Texas’ three-point defense is currently 81st in the country at 6.3 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.5% of their shots vs. Texas.
Bears vs Longhorns Trends
- Although Baylor has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 69 points per game in these games.
- In their last three games at home, the Longhorns have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 70 points per game in these contests.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bears have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Longhorns have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
Bears vs Longhorns Prediction
The Longhorns is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 76-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Longhorns at -1.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 148.5 and given that our model is projecting 144 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 20, 2024 Baylor Bears, Texas Longhorns, Uncategorized