The Atlanta Braves (33-24) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (30-30) on Tuesday, June 4th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Braves vs Red Sox
Heading into their last game vs. the Athletics, the Braves closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -257. Offensively, the Braves scored their three runs on seven hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out six Athletics batters. Dylan Lee picked up the save, going three innings, and Atlanta’s other reliever, Raisel Iglesias, got the final out of thejson 9th.
Atlanta is on the road today vs. the Red Sox with an overall record of 33-24, which has them seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 11-8 in divisional games. The Braves have been good at home, going 19-12, and they are just above .500 with a 14-12 record on the road.
So far, the Braves have been good as the favorite, going 32-21, but they are just 1-3 as the underdog. Atlanta was able to take their most recent series vs. the Athletics, winning the series 2-1. As for their overall series record, the Braves are 12-6-1 this year. Heading into today’s game, the Braves are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
When the Braves are on the road, they have a run line record of 15-11, which is better than their overall run line record of 29-28. Their average run margin on the road is 1.3, which is better than their overall average run margin of 0.7. The Braves have been favored in 53 of their games this season and have a run line record of 26-27 in those games.
When the Braves are on the road, the over/under line is typically set higher than 8 runs, with 73.7% of their games having a line above that mark. Their combined run average is 8.3, and their over/under record for the season is 20-35. When the line is set at 8 runs, their record is 3-2.
Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves
Left-hander Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 5-2 to go along with a 2.97 ERA. Fried’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.05. In his 11 appearances, Fried has turned in six quality starts, two complete games, and one shutout. His most recent outing was a gem, as he went eight innings, giving up no runs, and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been a key part of the Braves’ offense this season, as he is batting .313 with 17 home runs and 53 RBIs. Ozuna is currently on a seven-game hitting streak and has gone 10/35 (.286) with two homers over his last nine games. Matt Olson has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/34 in his last nine games with two homers and seven RBIs. For the season, Olson is batting .241 with nine homers.
As a team, the Braves are 7th in batting average at .250 and are averaging 4.5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 11th in home runs and have a collective on-base percentage of .317, which is 5th in the league.
Boston closed out their series vs. the Tigers with an 8-4 loss. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were the heavy favorite at -158. Things started off well for the Red Sox, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Tigers scored three times in the top of the 2nd.
Brayan Bello got the start for the Red Sox and took the loss. He only lasted 6 1/3 innings, giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Rafael Devers had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.
Boston is at an even 30-30 overall and is 11.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 3rd in the division and have gone just 5-8 in AL East games this year. The Red Sox will host the Braves today with an overall series record of 8-9-2.
At home, the Red Sox are 13-17 this year compared to 17-13 on the road. As the underdog, Boston is 14-17 this year and 16-13 when favored. Looking at their most recent series, the Red Sox split 2-2 with the Tigers.
When betting the run line in Red Sox games, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road, as they are 18-12 against the run line away from Fenway Park. Their average run differential on the road is +1.3, and they have covered the run line in 60% of their road games. However, when they are favored, they have only covered the run line in 31% of their games, compared to 58% when they are the underdog.
When the Boston Red Sox take on the Atlanta Braves at home today, the over/under line is set at 8 runs. Boston’s games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 24-31. When the line is set at 8 runs, their over/under record is 3-4-2. The over has hit in their last three games.
Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Kutter Crawford will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Orioles, as he gets the start for the Red Sox today vs. the Braves. In that May 29th start vs. the Orioles, he took the loss, giving up five earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, Crawford has given up at least one homer in each outing. Crawford’s ERA for the season is 3.29, along with a record of 2-4. Opponents are batting .228 off the right-hander this season. So far, he has made five quality starts and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, the Red Sox are 9th in home runs and have the league’s 2nd best BABIP at .31.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill are tied for the team lead in home runs, with 11, and Devers is also 2nd on the team with 29 RBIs. Devers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/26 in his last seven games. Ceddanne Rafaela has also been swinging a hot bat, as he has two homers in his last seven games, but he is hitting just .217 in that stretch.
Braves vs Red Sox Prediction
With the Red Sox at +144 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going for today’s Braves vs. Red Sox matchup. We have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 5-4.
If you’re looking for a prediction on the over/under, we would take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs, and we have these teams combining for nine runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 4, 2024 Braves, Red Sox