The Atlanta Braves (34-24) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (30-31) on Wednesday, June 5th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on NESN. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Braves vs Red Sox
The Braves offense only had two more hits than the Red Sox in the most recent game of this series, but still picked up an 8-3 win. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -164 on the money line.
Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with 13 strikeouts and picked up a win. Kutter Crawford had a rough outing for the Red Sox, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up four runs.
Ozzie Albies and Orlando Arcia each had two hits and drove in three runs for the Braves’ offense. Albies, Arcia, and Dominic Smith each homered for Atlanta. Smith’s homer was the only one for the Red Sox.
With an overall record of 34-24, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have gone 11-8 against other teams in the NL East. The Braves have won two straight games, and their series record for the year is 12-6-1.
At home, the Braves are 19-12 this season. On the road, they come in with a record of 15-12. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 33-21 this year, and they are 1-3 as the underdog. So far, they have been good as the road favorite, putting up a mark of 14-9.
Atlanta has been a solid bet against the run line this season, with a 30-28 record. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 16-11 against the run line away from home. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while it drops to -3.3 in losses.
Today’s game between the Atlanta Braves and Boston Red Sox has an over/under line of 9.5 runs. The Braves have played 56 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. Atlanta’s over/under record is 21-35, and the average over/under line in their games is 9 runs. In games where the over/under line has been set at 9.5 runs, the over is 3-4. Only 6.9% of the Braves’ games this season have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Spencer Schwellenbach is getting the start for the Braves on the road against the Red Sox. In his first outing of the season, Schwellenbach took the loss vs. the Nationals, going 5 innings and giving up 3 earned runs. He struck out 5 and gave up 1 home run.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 53 RBIs are the 2nd most in the league, while his 17 homers are the best mark on the Braves and 3rd in the league. Ozuna also comes into the game on an eight-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 10/31 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting .313.
As a team, the Braves are 9th in the league in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in team batting average and have the 7th best slugging percentage in the league.
Boston is just one game below .500 at 30-31, and they are 12.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games, and they are 4-6 over their last 10. So far, they have gone just 5-8 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Red Sox are 13-18 this year compared to 17-13 on the road. As the home underdog, Boston is 3-6 this season, and they are 14-18 as the underdog overall. The Red Sox have dropped two straight games as the underdog.
When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 18-12 compared to 9-22 at home. They have been favored in 29 games and have gone 9-20 against the run line in those contests. Their average run differential in wins is +4.3, while it drops to -3.6 in losses.
The Boston Red Sox have played in 56 games this season, and only 5 of them have had an over/under line as high as the 9.5 runs set for today’s game against the Atlanta Braves. Boston’s over/under record for the season is 25-31, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game. The over has hit in each of their last 4 games.
Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Red Sox starter Nick Pivetta comes into today’s game with a record of 2-4 and an ERA of 4.08. Looking at his overall numbers, Pivetta has made seven starts, and opponents are batting .222 this season. Pivetta has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 10.7 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Pivetta took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, with an ERA of 6.68 compared to 3.56 on the road.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
The Red Sox have been a good power-hitting team this season, as they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best isolated power figure. As a team, they are batting .242, which is 9th in the MLB, and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. Boston has been better offensively on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest.
Rafael Devers and Tyler O’Neill have been a good power-hitting duo for the Red Sox this season, with Devers leading the team with 11 homers and O’Neill right behind him with 11 of his own. Devers is also 2nd on the team with 29 RBIs and is batting .282. Devers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/32 in his last nine games. Ceddanne Rafaela has been the team’s top run producer so far, but he is batting just .206 for the season.
Braves vs Red Sox Prediction
Our predicted score for this Braves vs. Red Sox matchup is 5-4 in favor of the Braves. We are suggesting you take the Braves on the money line, where you can get them at -108.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Spencer Schwellenbach finishing with five strikeouts, which would have him ranked 14th among starters today. As for Nick Pivetta, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him at 12th.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 5, 2024 Braves, Red Sox