The Atlanta Braves (81-70) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (74-78) on Wednesday, September 18th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on BSOH. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Braves vs. Reds Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Reds (+125)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Reds have scored 6 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games, indicating strong offensive potential.
- The Reds have won 6 of their last 10 games, showing a positive recent trend in performance.
- The Reds have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games, demonstrating strong home-field advantage.
- The Braves have lost 6 of their last 10 games, indicating a recent struggle in performance.
- The Reds have outscored the Braves 15-5 in their last two head-to-head matchups.
Braves vs Reds
Cincinnati picked up a 6-5 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 1st inning, scoring six of their six runs. As for the Braves, they scored their first run in the 2nd and added three more in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Reds were the slight underdogs at +120.
Brandon Williamson only went 1 1/3 innings for the Reds but gave up just one hit and one earned run. He did finish the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Brent Suter came out of the bullpen for the win, and Alexis Díaz got the save.
Grant Holmes had a rough outing for the Braves, going just four innings while giving up five hits and two earned runs. He did finish the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Pierce Johnson took the loss.
Atlanta has struggled recently, losing three straight games and going 4-6 in their last 10. They are 10 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and two games behind the Mets for the second Wild Card spot.
When it comes to the run line, the Braves have been better on the road with a 40-36 record, compared to 31-44 at home. Their games have averaged 8.1 runs this season, and their O/U record for games with an 8.5 total is 14-25. The over has hit in four straight games for Atlanta.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Reds on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 6-7 with a 3.73 ERA. Schwellenbach’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10, and he has turned in nine quality starts. In his last outing, Schwellenbach picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Schwellenbach has been much better on the road, coming in with a 3.85 ERA compared to 4.06 at home.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been a huge run producer for the Braves this season, as his 98 RBIs are the 9th most in the league and the top mark on the team. He is also hitting .303 for the season and has gone deep 37 times, which is the 6th best mark in the MLB. Matt Olson is also a power threat in the lineup, as he has 26 homers this season but is batting just .239.
As a team, the Braves are 6th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.6 runs per contest. Currently, Jorge Soler is on a seven-game hitting streak, while Ronald Acuna Jr. has a four-game streak going.
Cincinnati has been a good bet on the run line this season, with an 83-69 record. Their games have gone over the total in 71 of 145 games, with an average of 8.7 runs per game. The over is currently on a four-game streak for the Reds. They are 37-39 at home and 37-39 on the road, and have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
The Reds are 16-12 as home underdogs and have won five straight games at home. Overall, they are 74-78 and sit in 4th place in the NL Central, 13.5 games behind the Brewers. This season, Cincinnati’s series record is 19-27-3.
Jakob Junis Gets The Start For The Reds
Jakob Junis is getting the start for the Reds today and has made four starts this year. He has made 22 appearances and has a record of 4-0 with an ERA of 2.73. Junis has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 1-0 and an ERA of 2.77. His ERA on the road is 3.58, and he is 3-0 away from home. Junis most recently faced the Cardinals, where he went five innings, giving up one earned run, and finished with a no-decision. He has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings.
Reds Offense Breakdown
Elly De La Cruz has been a bright spot in the Reds lineup this season, as he is batting .257 and has gone deep 24 times, which is the best mark on the team. His 69 RBIs is also the 2nd best mark on the team. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also tied for 2nd on the team with 20 homers, but Steer is batting just .232, and Candelario is even worse at .225.
Collectively, the Reds are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 13th in the league in home runs. However, they are batting just .233 as a team, which is 17th in the MLB. Currently, TJ Friedl is on a tear, going 9/20 in his last five games with two homers.
Braves vs Reds Prediction
Getting the Reds at +125 on the money line is a great value pick, as we have them winning this one 5-4. With the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, there isn’t a ton of wiggle room, but we would still take the over if you’re looking for a second bet.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Jakob Junis is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and we have Spencer Schwellenbach ending with nine. If you’re looking for a DFS stack, we have the Braves finishing with eight hits and the Reds with nine.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 18, 2024 Braves, Reds