Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets Prediction 5/10/2024

The Atlanta Braves (22-12) travel to face off against the New York Mets (18-18) on Friday, May 10th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on SNY. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.

Braves vs Mets

atlanta braves nba

Heading into their last game vs. the Red Sox, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -213. Offensively, the Braves scored their five runs on just nine hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Chris Sale got the start for the Braves, going six innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just one walk and struck out 10 Red Sox batters. Marcell Ozuna was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with two doubles, a run scored, and four RBIs.

Heading into today’s road matchup vs. the Mets, the Braves are 22-12 overall and trail the Phillies by two games for the NL East lead. The Braves are on a two-game winning streak, and they have an 8-4 record in divisional matchups this year.

So far, the Braves have been really good at home, going 13-4. They have also been above .500 on the road at 9-8. As the favorite, the Braves are 22-10 this year, but they have yet to win a game as the underdog, going 0-2. The Braves closed out their series vs. the Red Sox with two straight wins, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

Atlanta has been a solid run line bet this season, going 17-17 overall. The Braves have been particularly good on the road, where they are 9-8 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.6, while it drops to -3.2 in losses.

Atlanta’s over/under record is 12-20, and the average O/U line in their games this season has been 9 runs. However, the O/U line for their games has been set at 8 runs just twice this season, and in those games, the over has hit both times. In fact, the O/U line for Braves games has been set at 8 runs or lower in just 11.8% of their games this season. The under has hit in each of their last three games, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season.

Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves

Charlie Morton gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Mets on the road. So far this season, he has made six starts and has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 3.50. Looking at his overall numbers, Morton has a WHIP of 1.14 and has issued 3.25 walks per nine innings compared to 8.25 strikeouts. Morton has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work. He finished with a no-decision in that outing. Morton has not taken a loss since April 12th.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the best hitters in the league so far this season, as his 38 RBIs are the best in the league, and his 12 home runs are also the best in the league. Ozuna also comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak. He has gone deep three times in his last eight games, but his batting average over that stretch is just .222. Travis d’Arnaud is also in the top 10 in home runs this season, as he has five homers and is batting .265.

Overall, the Braves are 4th in scoring at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, also averaging 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .257, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Atlanta’s team OPS of .744 is also 5th in the league.

The Mets’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Cardinals, closing out their series with a 7-5 win. After allowing three runs to the Cardinals in the bottom of the first, the Mets responded with six runs of their own. New York went on to add another run in the 5th inning.

José Buttó got the start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win. Pete Alonso had a big game at the plate, going 2/5 with a homer and three RBIs.

The Mets kick off their series vs. the Braves with an even 18-18 record, and they are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. So far, they are 2-1 in divisional games. New York has won two straight games, and this came after dropping four in a row.

At home, the Mets are 9-10 this year and 9-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 8-9 this year, which includes having won two straight as the underdog. Their overall series record is 6-5-1, and they won their most recent series vs. the Cardinals.

The Mets have been a solid run line bet this season, going 19-17 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 11-6 on the run line. They have a run line win streak as an underdog, covering the run line in three straight games. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9.

Today’s over/under line for the Mets’ game against the Braves is set at 8 runs. The Mets have had an over/under record of 18-18 this season, and their games have had an average combined run total of 8.8 runs. In games where the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they have a record of 3-3. Overall, 41.7% of their games have had over/under lines set above 8 runs.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

New York is sending Jose Quintana to the mound today vs. the Braves, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays. In that start, he took the loss, going just 2 2/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs, 10 hits, three walks, and a homer. Quintana’s record for the season is 1-3, and his ERA is 5.20. So far, he has made one quality start and is averaging 6.19 strikeouts per nine innings. Quintana’s ERA on the road is 10.66 compared to 2.26 at home.

Mets Offense Breakdown

new york mets

Brandon Nimmo has been on a tear for the Mets over the team’s last 10 games, hitting .270 with three homers and eight RBIs. Nimmo is also on a six-game hitting streak heading into today’s game. For the season, he is batting just .229, but his 25 RBIs are the best mark on the team, and he is 10th in the league in RBIs.

As a team, the Mets are 14th in the league in scoring at 4.5 runs per game. They have been better on the road this season, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 10th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best batting average. Pete Alonso has a team-high nine homers but is batting just .212.

Braves vs Mets Prediction

Getting the Mets at +127 at home is a great value pick for today’s Braves vs. Mets matchup. We have the Mets winning this one 6-5, and at +127, there is some good value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Jose Quintana finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 15th among starters today. As for Charlie Morton, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for seventh among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.