The Atlanta Braves (24-12) travel to face off against the New York Mets (18-20) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at Citi Field in New York and televised on ESPN. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 7:10 ET.
Braves vs Mets
The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right down to the end, as the Mets rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 4-1 on the road. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -160 on the money line.
Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Christian Scott took the loss for the Mets, going six innings and giving up three earned runs.
Atlanta’s offense was led by Orlando Arcia and Michael Harris II, as they were the only two Braves hitters to have more than one hit. Arcia and Harris each scored two runs and drove in a run for the Braves’ attack.
Atlanta is on a four-game winning streak, and they have an overall record of 24-12 this season. The Braves are two games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead, and they have gone 10-4 against other teams in their division. So far, they are 13-4 at home and have gone 11-8 on the road.
As the road favorite, the Braves have put together an 11-6 mark this year. They are also a perfect 4-0 as the favorite when favored by four or more runs. Atlanta has won two straight road games and is 10-4 in day games this year. Their overall series record is 8-3-1.
Atlanta is 19-17 vs. the run line this season, and they are 11-8 on the run line on the road. The Braves have covered the run line in four straight games as the favorite, and their average run margin in winning games is +3.5.
Atlanta has played 30 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and the over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs. The Braves have gone under the total in five straight games, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season. Overall, the Braves’ over/under record is 12-22, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs.
Bryce Elder Gets The Start For The Braves
Bryce Elder will be making his 4th start of the season for the Braves, and he will be on the road against the Mets. He is coming off a rough outing against the Dodgers, where he gave up 7 runs in 3 1/3 innings. However, in his first start of the season, he threw 6 2/3 innings of no-hit ball against the Marlins.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been on a tear of late for the Braves, going 8/26 with three homers over his last seven games. For the season, he is batting .319, which is the best mark on the team, and his 38 RBIs are also the best in the league. Ozuna is also on a five-game hitting streak. Travis d’Arnaud is also swinging the bat well right now, as he is batting .270 for the season and has gone deep five times.
Overall, the Braves are the 5th highest-scoring team in the league this season, averaging five runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.1 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league.
The Mets are 18-20 overall this season, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today, with both losses coming vs. the Braves. New York trails the Phillies by nine games in the NL East, and they are 2-3 in divisional games this year.
At home, the Mets are 9-12 compared to 9-8 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 8-11 this year and 10-9 when favored. New York has an overall series record of 6-5-1 this season.
When the Mets are the underdog, they are 11-8 against the run line, but when they are favored, they are just 8-11. Their overall run line record is 19-19, and they have a run line losing streak at home of three games. Their average run differential in winning games is 3.2, while it is -2.8 in losses.
The Mets’ over/under record for the season is 18-20, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 4-6, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs. The over has hit in 55.3% of their games this season, and their games have had an over/under line set at 7.5 runs in 21 of their games. The under has hit in their last two games, and their last game ended with a combined total of 6 runs.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today and comes in with a record of 2-2 and ERA of 2.92. So far, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 8.32 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Severino finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had gone eight innings without giving up an earned run. Opponents are batting .196 off Severino this year, and he has allowed a total of two homers. At home, his ERA is 2.08 compared to 4.5 on the road.
Mets Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 13th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .310 is 14th in the league.
Brandon Nimmo has been one of the Mets’ top hitters this season, as he is batting just .228 overall, but his five home runs are 8th in the league, and his 25 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 8th in the league. He has also been hot of late, going 9/29 in his last eight games with two homers. Pete Alonso leads the Mets with nine homers, but he is batting just .215 for the season.
Braves vs Mets Prediction
Our predicted final score for this game is 5-4 in favor of the Braves. So, we would recommend taking them on the money line, where you can get them at -126.
Looking at a couple of potential player props, we have Luis Severino finishing with five strikeouts compared to Bryce Elder with just four. Offensively, the Braves are projected to finish with eight strikeouts compared to the Mets with seven.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 12, 2024 Braves, Mets