The Atlanta Braves (19-8) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (16-13) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on BSSO. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.
Braves vs Mariners
Seattle picked up a 2-1 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners offense only had four hits in the game but still picked up the win thanks to a good outing from Bryce Miller, who went seven innings and gave up just one run. As for the Braves, Max Fried got the start and went six innings, giving up no runs and no hits.
Mitch Garver was the difference for the Mariners, as he homered twice and scored both of their runs. On the other side, Atlanta’s only run came in the 7th inning. Ronald Acuna Jr. went 2/4 with a stolen base for the Braves.
Seattle’s bullpen closed things out, with Austin Voth getting the win and Kendall Graveman getting the save. As for the Braves, A.J. Minter took the loss out of the bullpen.
Atlanta is 19-8 overall this season, good for a 1.5-game lead over the Phillies in the NL East. The Braves dropped the first game of this series vs. the Guardians but bounced back with a win in the series finale. This year, they have an 8-4 record in divisional games.
The Braves have really been playing well at home, going 11-4. They have also been good on the road, as they are 8-4 this season. So far, they have been really good in night games, going 12-4. Atlanta has also been good as the favorite this year, going 19-8.
The Braves have been a profitable team against the run line this season, going 13-14 overall. They have been even better on the road, going 7-5 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.0.
The Atlanta Braves are on a seven-game under streak, and their over/under record for the season is 11-14. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Seattle Mariners is set at 7 runs. The Braves have had 92.6% of their games this season with higher over/under lines than 7 runs.
Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves
Reynaldo López and the Braves are on the road to take on the Mariners today. López has been solid in his first three starts, picking up a win in his last outing against the Astros. He went 6 innings and struck out 7 in that start, and has yet to give up more than 1 earned run in a start this season.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Not only are the Braves the top-scoring team in the league this season at 5.6 runs per game, but they also have the best road offense in the league at 6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .272 (2nd) and have the league’s top on-base percentage and slugging percentage. They also have the league’s best BABIP and are 2nd in the league in isolated power.
Marcell Ozuna has been the league’s top run producer this season, with 31 RBIs, and he is also 2nd in the league with 9 home runs. Ozuna is also batting .330. Michael Harris II is 3rd on the team with a .306 batting average and has three homers. Travis d’Arnaud is also a big power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team and 6th in the league with five homers.
Seattle’s overall record is 16-13 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Braves. The Mariners will be at home today, and they lead the AL West by one game over the Rangers. This season, the Mariners have gone 2-1 in division play.
The Mariners won the first game of this series vs. the Braves, and they have an overall series record of 4-4-1 this year. Seattle has won four straight series, and they have won two straight series on the road. As for their record at home, the Mariners are 10-7 compared to 6-6 on the road. Seattle’s win over the Braves came after dropping the final game of their series vs. the Diamondbacks.
Seattle has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 14-15 overall. They have been a better bet at home, going 8-9 against the run line. Their average run differential is +0.4 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 6-5 against the run line. They have won their last two games against the run line as the underdog.
Seattle’s over/under record is 7-20 this season, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Braves is set at 7 runs. The Mariners’ games have averaged 6.9 runs per game, and they have gone under the total in seven straight games.
Luis Castillo Gets The Start For The Mariners
Seattle is starting right-hander Luis Castillo today vs. the Braves, and he has made six starts this year. Currently, Castillo’s record is 2-4, and he has an ERA of 4.15. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .268 this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.30. In his six starts, Castillo has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed a total of five home runs. In his last outing, Castillo went six innings, giving up two earned runs and getting the win. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
Mariners Offense Breakdown
Seattle’s offense has struggled this season, averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.2 runs per game. The Mariners are also near the bottom of the league in team batting average and on-base percentage. However, they do come into the game with the 8th most home runs in the league.
Julio Rodriguez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/40 over his last 10 games. For the season, he is batting .265 with one home run. Cal Raleigh has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 3/9 in his last nine games. He is tied for the team lead with six homers.
Braves vs Mariners Prediction
Our prediction for this Braves vs. Mariners matchup is to take the Braves on the money line, with the payout being -135. We actually have the Braves winning this one by a score of 5-4, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Reynaldo Lopez finishing with five strikeouts compared to Luis Castillo with five. However, Castillo is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Lopez. As for the Braves and Mariners’ lineups, the Braves are projected to finish with nine hits compared to the Mariners with eight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:April 30, 2024 Braves, Mariners