Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 5/7/2024

The Boston Red Sox (19-16) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (20-12) on Tuesday, May 7th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on NESN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 7:20 ET.

Red Sox vs Braves

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Rafael Devers had a big game for the Red Sox in their 9-2 win over the Twins to close out their series. Devers went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Red Sox really broke things open with a four-run 8th inning. Boston was the +153 underdog going into this matchup.

Cooper Criswell got the start for the Red Sox, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just one run on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Boston is on the road today vs. the Braves, and they are looking to pick up their first win vs. an AL East opponent this year, as they are 0-3 in the division. Currently, the Red Sox are 4.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. Overall, they are 19-16 this season.

The Red Sox have an overall series record of 6-4-1 this year, and they are coming off losing their series vs. the Twins. Boston is 7-9 at home this year compared to 12-7 on the road. As the underdog, the Red Sox are 10-11 this year and 9-5 when favored.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 13-6. Their average run differential in those games is +2.4 runs per game. They have been even better as an underdog, going 14-7 on the run line. Their average run differential in their wins is +4.8 runs per game.

Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the Red Sox-Braves game is slightly higher than the Red Sox’s season average of 8.1 runs per game. Boston has gone over the line in 14 of their 32 games this season, and their over/under record for the season is 14-18. When the over/under line has been set at 9 runs, the Red Sox have gone over in 2 games, under in 1 game, and pushed in 1 game. Overall, only 11.4% of the Red Sox’s games this season have had over/under lines set at 9 runs or higher.

Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Right-hander Kutter Crawford is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 2-1 with an ERA of 1.56. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is 1.07. In his 40 1/3 innings of work, he has allowed just one homer. Crawford is coming off a start in which he gave up two earned runs in seven innings of work and got the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

The Red Sox offense has been pretty good this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run hitting teams, and they have a team batting average of .246, which is 8th in the league. Boston has been very good at avoiding strikeouts this season, but they are just 25th in the league in walks.

Over his last 10 games, Ceddanne Rafaela has gone 10/37 with two homers and 10 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs, despite batting just .202 for the season. Rafael Devers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 14/37 in his last 10 games. Triston Casas is 2nd on the team with six homers but is batting just .244 for the season.

Heading into their last game vs. the Dodgers, the Braves closed out the series with a 5-1 loss. Atlanta was the heavy favorite at -153 on the money line. Things started off well for the Braves, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but gave up the lead right away as the Dodgers scored two runs in the bottom of the first.

Max Fried had a rough outing, giving up four earned runs on seven hits and issuing three walks. The Braves also wasted a big game from Marcell Ozuna, who went 2/4 with a homer.

Atlanta will host the Red Sox today with an overall record of 20-12, which has them three games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves dropped the final game of their series vs. the Cubs and have since lost the first two games of their series vs. the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 8-4 in divisional games.

At home, the Braves have been strong this year, going 11-4 compared to 9-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 20-10, but they are 0-2 as the underdog. Atlanta has an overall series record of 7-3-1 this year, but they have dropped two straight series.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose big, with an average run margin of -3.2 runs per game. Overall, they have a run line record of 15-17, with a run line record of 6-9 at home and 9-8 on the road. As the favorite, they are 14-16 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 1-1.

Atlanta’s over/under record is 12-18 this season, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs. So far this season, 10 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, while 14 games have had lower lines. When the line has been set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 2-5-1.

Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves

Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves at home against the Red Sox. He has been solid through his first three starts, picking up a win in his most recent outing against the Mariners. He has struck out 20 batters over his first 19 innings of work.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, leading the team with a .306 batting average and 33 RBIs, which is the best mark in the league. He also has 10 home runs, which is the 2nd best mark in the league. Travis d’Arnaud has also been a solid power threat for the Braves, as he is 2nd on the team with five homers.

Over the team’s last 10 games, Austin Riley has really struggled at the plate, going just 8/40. However, he does have one home run and five RBIs during this stretch. Marcell Ozuna has also gone deep once in his last 10 games, batting .257 over that stretch.

Red Sox vs Braves Prediction

Our prediction for this game is that the Braves will come out on top by a score of 6-5. However, we are recommending that you take the over, as we have the Braves and Red Sox combining for 11 runs, and with the line sitting at 9, there is some good value there.

If you’re looking for a pick on the money line, we would recommend taking the Braves, as they are at home and have a lot of value in the money line market. Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Reynaldo Lopez finishing with five strikeouts, compared to Kutter Crawford with four.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.