Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction 7/9/2024

The Atlanta Braves (50-39) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (45-46) on Tuesday, July 9th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on None. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.

Braves vs. Diamondbacks Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Diamondbacks (+105)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • Diamondbacks have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • Diamondbacks have a higher home win percentage (.500) compared to the Braves’ away win percentage (.488).
  • Diamondbacks have scored 5 or more runs in 8 out of their last 10 games.

Braves vs Diamondbacks

atlanta braves nba

Atlanta picked up a 5-4 road win over the Diamondbacks in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 9th and another run in the 10th. As for the Diamondbacks, they scored four runs in the 6th but were held in check after that.

Sean Murphy and Austin Riley each homered for the Braves, while Yilber Diaz went deep for the Diamondbacks. Murphy finished with three RBIs and two runs scored.

Bryce Elder only went five innings for the Braves but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Raisel Iglesias got the win out of the bullpen, and Joe Jiménez got the save. Justin Martinez took the loss for Arizona out of the bullpen.

Atlanta is 2nd in the NL East with a 50-39 record, trailing the Phillies by 7.5 games. They have won three straight games and are 14-12 against NL East teams this season. The Braves are 47-33 as favorites, but only 3-6 as underdogs.

On the run line, the Braves are 42-47 overall and 37-43 as favorites. Their games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, resulting in a 30-54 over/under record. Today’s O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than usual for Atlanta, as 78.7% of their games have had higher totals.

Chris Sale Gets The Start For The Braves

Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today as he faces off against the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 16 starts this year and has a record of 11-3 with a league-leading ERA of 2.71. Sale has made 10 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went six innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. In that outing, he had nine strikeouts. Sale’s WHIP for the season is currently .91, and he is averaging 11.47 strikeouts per nine innings.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 23 homers are 4th best in the MLB and lead the Braves. He also comes into the game with the 3rd most RBIs in the league, with 73. However, he has gone just 5/22 in his last six games. Ozzie Albies has been hot of late, going 8/23 in his last six games, including two homers.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. This is the same average they have on the road and at home. Overall, they are the 10th best home run hitting team in the league and have a team batting average of .242.

Arizona has been a solid bet against the run line this season, with a 46-45 record. They are 26-21 vs. the run line on the road and 30-21 as underdogs. The Diamondbacks have a run differential of +0.1 runs per game and their games have averaged 9.8 runs per game, resulting in a 47-41 over/under record.

The Diamondbacks are looking to bounce back in game two vs. the Braves after dropping the series opener. They are 45-46 overall and 10 games behind the Dodgers in the NL West. Arizona’s overall series record this season is 13-13-3, and they have won three straight series.

Zac Gallen Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks today and comes into the game with a record of 6-4 and an ERA of 3.06. In his 13 starts, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 9.44 strikeouts per nine innings. Gallen’s last outing came against the Dodgers, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had not allowed a homer in three straight starts. Gallen’s ERA at home is 1.62 compared to 4.22 on the road.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

arizona diamondbacks

Christian Walker has been swinging a hot bat for the Diamondbacks, going 9/26 in his last six games with four home runs and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .265 with a team-high 22 homers and 65 RBIs, which is 6th best in the MLB. Ketel Marte is also having a strong season, batting .281 with 17 homers and 51 RBIs.

As a team, the Diamondbacks are 5th in the league in runs scored at 4.9 per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are 6th in team batting average and 5th in on-base percentage. Arizona is also one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.

Braves vs Diamondbacks Prediction

With the Diamondbacks at +105 on the money line, that’s the bet we recommend making in this one. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Diamondbacks, meaning there is some value in taking them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Chris Sale finishing with more strikeouts than Zac Gallen. However, Gallen does have a better chance of picking up the win, and his projected ERA is also better than Sale’s.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.