The Atlanta Braves (20-11) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Dodgers (22-13) on Sunday, May 5th. This game will be played at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles and televised on BSSE. The Dodgers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.
Braves vs Dodgers
Thanks to a four-home run performance from the Dodgers’ offense, they cruised to an easy 11-2 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Dodgers were favored at -195 on the money line.
Ronald Acuna Jr. scored both of the Braves’ runs while going 3/4 with a stolen base. Max Muncy did the most damage for the Dodgers, going 4/5 with three homers and four RBIs.
Tyler Glasnow pitched well for the Dodgers in this one, going seven innings and striking out 10 without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Bryce Elder took the loss for the Braves.
Atlanta is on the road today to take on the Dodgers, having dropped their last two games. The Braves are 20-11 overall and trail the Phillies by 1.5 games for the NL East lead. So far, they have gone 8-4 against other teams in the NL East.
At home, the Braves have been really good, putting together an 11-4 record. On the road, they are 9-7 this year. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 20-9 and are 0-2 as the underdog. Atlanta’s overall series record is 7-2-1, and they have dropped two straight on the road.
The Braves have been a solid run line team this season, going 15-16 overall. They have been better on the road, going 9-7 against the run line, compared to 6-9 at home. Their average run margin for the season is +1.2 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of +1.7 runs per game on the road. In their wins, they are outscoring opponents by an average of +3.6 runs per game.
Today’s over/under line of 9 runs for the Braves-Dodgers game is right in line with Atlanta’s season average of 9 runs per game. The Braves have gone over the total in 12 of their 29 games this season, and their games have averaged a combined 9.2 runs per game. In the 10 games where the over/under line has been set higher than 9 runs, the over has gone 2-5-1. In the 13 games where the over/under line has been set lower than 9 runs, the over has gone 6-7.
Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves
Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today as he faces the Dodgers on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 4.02. Fried’s WHIP for the season is 1.18. In his last outing, Fried didn’t give up a run in six innings of work, finishing with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings. Fried has one shutout and one complete game this season. His ERA at home is 7.27, compared to 11.83 on the road.
Braves Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Braves offense has been one of the best in the league, averaging 5.2 runs per game, which is 2nd in the MLB. They have been especially good at home, where they are also averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .260, which is the 2nd best mark in the league, and they also have the 3rd best slugging percentage in the league.
Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his nine home runs are the 2nd most in the league. He is also batting .299 and leads the Braves with 32 RBIs. Austin Riley and Ronald Acuna Jr. have both been swinging the bat well of late, with Riley hitting .286 over his last five games and Acuna Jr. hitting .364.
Los Angeles kicks off their series vs. the Braves with a three-game winning streak, and they lead the NL West by 4.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers are 22-13 overall and have gone 7-4 in divisional matchups this year.
At home, the Dodgers are 11-8 this year and have really played well on the road at 11-5. Los Angeles has been good in night games, going 14-6, and they are 22-12 as the favorite this season. Their overall series record is 7-5, and they have won three straight series overall and four straight on the road. Their most recent series was against the Angels, and they went on to win the series 2-1.
When the Dodgers win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run differential in victories is +4.2 runs per game. However, they have not been able to cover the run line at home, going just 7-12 this season. Overall, they are 17-18 against the run line, but they have been much better on the road, going 10-6. As the favorite, they are 17-17 against the run line, while they are 0-1 as the underdog.
With a combined run average of 9.3 runs per game, the Dodgers have seen their fair share of high-scoring contests this season. Their over/under record is 20-15, and the average over/under line for their games is set at 9 runs. In games where the line has been set at 9 runs, the over/under record is 2-1. Overall, 71.4% of their games have had lower lines than 9 runs, and the over has hit in 20% of games where the line was set at 9 runs.
James Paxton Gets The Start For The Dodgers
James Paxton is on the mound for the Dodgers, and he will be making his first start of the season at home. He has started the year with a 2-0 record, and in his last outing, he picked up a win against the Diamondbacks. In that start, he went 5 innings and gave up 4 earned runs.
Dodgers Offense Breakdown
Los Angeles comes into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.5 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. The Dodgers have also been the best hitting team in the league this season, with a team batting average of .275. Not only do they have the best OBP in the league, but they also have the best slugging percentage and OPS.
Max Muncy and Shohei Ohtani are tied for the team lead in home runs, with eight apiece. Muncy is also batting .262 for the season, while Ohtani comes in with a batting average of .345. Muncy has gone 8/24 with four homers over his last six games, while Andy Pages has gone 14/34 in his last eight games.
Braves vs Dodgers Prediction
We like the Dodgers on the money line in this one, and at +113, there is some good value in picking them to win straight up. Offensively, we have the Dodgers finishing with nine hits compared to the Braves, who we have getting nine as well.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have James Paxton finishing with five strikeouts compared to Max Fried, who we have finishing with five as well. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Dodgers.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:May 5, 2024 Braves, Dodgers