Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 3/31/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies are playing for the first time this season while the Atlanta Braves are coming off a win. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 1:35 ET.

Braves vs Phillies

atlanta braves nba

The Braves’ offense exploded for 12 runs on 19 hits in the last game of this Braves vs. Phillies series, picking up a 12-4 win. Atlanta was the -137 favorite going into the game, and the four home runs hit by the Braves were more than enough to take down the Phillies.

Despite giving up three earned runs in just 2/3 of an inning of work, Jesse Chavez picked up the win for the Braves. Max Fried got the start but went just 2/3 of an inning as well. Aaron Nola took the loss, giving up seven earned runs on 12 hits.

The Braves’ offense jumped all over the Phillies early, scoring two runs in the 1st and three more in the 2nd. The Phillies didn’t get on the board until the 3rd inning, and they didn’t score again until the 9th when the game was well out of reach for Philadelphia.

Chris Sale Gets The Start For The Braves

Chris Sale will be making his first start of the season for the Braves after spending last year with the Red Sox. In 2021, he made 20 starts and finished with a record of 6-5. His ERA for the season was 4.29, and he finished the year with a WHIP of 1.13. Sale’s FIP for the season was 3.80, and he allowed a total of 15 home runs. For the season, he averaged 10.96 strikeouts per nine innings and finished with a K/BB ratio of 4.3.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Our model is projecting Matt Olson to have the best chance to hit a home run for the Braves in today’s game, as his home run projection is 6th best in the league. Marcell Ozuna is 7th in the league in terms of home run projections today. Ronald Acuña Jr. has the highest hits projection on the Braves and his total is 16th best in the league today. Austin Riley is 8th in the league in terms of home run projections.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Coming off a season in which he made 22 starts, Ranger Suárez finished with an ERA of 4.18 and a record of 4-6. He gave up a total of 13 home runs and averaged 2.2 walks per game. Suárez’s WHIP for the season was 1.42, and his FIP came in at 3.90. The left-hander’s batting average allowed was .263, and his on-base percentage allowed was .325. For the season, Suárez averaged 8.57 strikeouts per nine innings and finished with a K/BB ratio of 2.5.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

For the Phillies, we have Kyle Schwarber with the highest home run projection on the team and 4th in the league today. Bryce Harper is 3rd on the team in terms of total hits and 2nd in terms of home run projection. Trea Turner has the highest total hits projection on the team and his home run projection is 8th in the league today. Alec Bohm is 2nd on the team in terms of total hits and 6th in terms of home run projection.

 

Braves vs Phillies Prediction

 

Our prediction for this Braves vs. Phillies game is to take the Phillies on the money line, where they are offering a payout of +114. We actually have the Phillies winning this one by a score of 6-5.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Chris Sale does have the highest strikeout projection among starters, but we have Ranger Suarez finishing with more strikeouts than Sale. Suarez is projected to finish with four K’s, while Sale is at seven.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.