The Atlanta Braves (79-66) travel to face off against the Washington Nationals (64-80) on Wednesday, September 11th. This game will be played at Nationals Park in Washington and televised on MASN. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nationals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 5:45 CT.

Braves vs. Nationals Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Nationals (+145)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs

• The Nationals have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
• In their last 15 games, the Nationals have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games.
• The Nationals have a recent head-to-head win against the Braves, with a 5-1 victory on August 25th.
• The Nationals have shown strong offensive performances at home, scoring 8 runs against the Rockies on August 22nd and 6 runs against the Yankees on August 27th.
• The Nationals have a higher home win percentage (32-38) compared to the Braves’ away win percentage (39-35).

Braves vs Nationals

The most recent game o of this Braves vs Nationals series came to an end with a 12-0 win for Atlanta. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -144 on the money line.

Reynaldo Lopez only went one inning for the Braves but didn’t give up a run or a hit. Jesse Chavez got the win out of the bullpen. MacKenzie Gore had a rough outing for the Nationals, giving up two earned runs in just 3 2/3 innings of work.

Atlanta’s offense was led by Michael Harris II, who homered twice and went 3/6 at the plate. He scored two runs and drove in two runs. Sean Murphy and Ramon Laureano each had three hits and three RBIs.

Atlanta has an overall record of 79-66 and is eight games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They are 24-21 against divisional opponents and have a 39-35 road record this season.

On the run line, the Braves have a 40-34 record on the road and an overall record of 69-76. Their Over/Under record for games with a line of 7.5 runs is 12-19, and the average run total in their games this season is 8.1 runs.

Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves

Max Fried is coming off a strong outing vs. the Blue Jays, as he picked up the win and went seven innings, giving up just one earned run. In that outing, he didn’t allow a homer. Looking back further, Fried had given up a homer in three straight starts before that outing. Fried has a record of 9-8 this season and an ERA of 3.35. Out of his 25 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts and has a shutout to his name. For the season, Fried has a WHIP of 1.19 and opponents are batting .223 off him this year.

Braves Offense Breakdown

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he comes into the game with a batting average of .305 and 37 home runs, which is 5th in the league. His 98 RBIs are also 7th best in the MLB. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 25 homers, but he is batting just .237 for the season. However, he does have an OBP of .317.

As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, and they have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.7 runs per contest. Atlanta is 4th in the league in home runs and has the 9th best slugging percentage in the league. Currently, Ronald Acuña Jr. is on a four-game hitting streak.

Washington has been struggling lately, losing two straight games and going 3-7 in their last ten. They are 22.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and trail the Braves by 8 games for the 3rd spot in the division.

On the run line, the Nationals have a solid 80-64 record overall, including 43-31 on the road. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs this season, resulting in a 70-69 over/under record. The over has hit in three straight games for Washington, and when the total has been set at 7.5, the over is 16-9.

Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals

Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today and comes in with a record of 9-12 and an ERA of 4.28. So far this year, he has made 29 starts, and opponents are batting .245 off him this season. In his 29 appearances, Irvin has turned in 14 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings. Against the Braves on August 24th, he gave up one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work.

Nationals Offense Breakdown

Washington’s offense comes into the game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in the majors. They have been a bit better on the road, averaging 4.3 runs per game. So far, they are batting .244 as a team (10th) and are one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts. The Nationals have been one of the league’s worst home run-hitting teams this season.

Heading into the game, CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. are the Nationals’ top two home run hitters, with 19 and 15 homers, respectively. Abrams is batting just .237 for the season, but Garcia Jr. comes into the game hitting .284. Over his last five games, Andres Chaparro is 6/19 with two homers, and Jose Tena is 8/21 in his last five games.

Braves vs Nationals Prediction

We see a lot of value in taking the Nationals on the money line at +145. At this payout, we would recommend placing a higher wager on the Nationals to pick up the win than you would typically with a money line bet.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jake Irvin finishing with five strikeouts compared to Max Fried with four. However, we do have Irvin finishing with a better chance to pick up the win than Fried.

Offensively, our projections have the Braves finishing with eight hits compared to the Nationals with nine. However, the Braves are projected to finish with 4.0 runs compared to the Nationals with 5.0.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.