The Kansas City Royals (85-75) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (87-71) on Saturday, September 28th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSKC. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Royals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.
Royals vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Braves (-154)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Braves have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
- Braves have scored an average of 6.6 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- Braves have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games.
- Braves have outscored their opponents by 18 runs in their last 5 home games.
- Braves have a 44-33 home record compared to the Royals’ 40-39 away record.
Royals vs Braves
The most recent game o of this Braves vs. Royals series came right down to the end, as the Royals rallied late but still fell short with the Braves winning 3-2 at home. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -189 on the money line.
Max Fried pitched well for the Braves in this one, going 8 2/3 innings and striking out nine without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Raisel Iglesias closed things out. Brady Singer had a good outing for the Royals in the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs.
Sean Murphy hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with two RBIs. Michael Massey had a two-hit game for the Royals.
When the Royals are favored, they have a 41-40 run line record, but as underdogs, they are 46-33 on the run line. Their overall run line record is 87-73, with an average run differential of +0.6 runs per game. The over has hit in 16 of 20 games when the O/U line is 7.5, and their over/under record for the season is 69-86.
Kansas City is 85-75 overall and 3-7 in their last 10 games, trailing the Guardians by seven games in the AL Central. They have lost two straight games at home but have won their last two road series. The Royals’ overall series record is 23-26-2, and their straight-up road underdog record is 20-30.
Seth Lugo Gets The Start For The Royals
Seth Lugo will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing as he gets the start for the Royals today. The right-hander’s most recent outing came on September 22nd against the Giants, where he took the loss. In that start, Lugo went seven innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Lugo’s record for the season is 16-9, and he has an ERA of 3.03. Looking at his numbers, Lugo has made 32 starts, one of which was a complete game, and he has 22 quality starts. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.83 strikeouts and just 2.07 walks.
Royals Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Royals are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. As a team, they are batting .249, which is the 7th best mark in the league. Kansas City has two of the league’s top home run hitters, with Bobby Witt Jr. leading the team with 32 homers and Salvador Perez right behind him with 27. Witt Jr. is also batting .332 for the season, and Perez is hitting .271.
Currently, the Royals don’t have any players on a hitting streak, and over his last five games, Hunter Renfroe has gone just 2/14 with one home run. For the season, he is batting .256 with 23 homers.
Atlanta has an overall series record of 29-17-7, and they have won three straight series and two straight on the road. The Braves are 6 games behind the Phillies in the NL East with a 87-71 record, and they have won four in a row, including the first game of their series vs. the Royals.
On the run line, the Braves are 76-82, with an average run margin of 0.6 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 58-94, and the average total runs in their games is 8.1. The under has hit in their last two games, and the O/U record for games with a total of 7.5 runs is 13-21.
Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves
Braves starter Reynaldo López has made 24 starts this season and has a record of 8-5 with an ERA of 2.03. He has made 13 quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he went just one inning and didn’t give up a run. In that outing, he gave up one hit and didn’t issue a walk. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight outings. Lopez has been much better at home this year, coming in with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 1.83 compared to 4-3 with a 2.12 ERA on the road.
Braves Offense Breakdown
One of the keys to the Braves’ offense this season has been their power, as they are 3rd in the league in home runs and have the 5th and 13th ranked home run hitters in the league in Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson, respectively. Ozuna is also 11th in the league with 102 RBIs and comes into the game batting .308. Olson is hitting just .245 but has 29 homers.
Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, and their team batting average of .243 is 9th in the league. They have been a good road team offensively, averaging 4.8 runs per game. The team’s hottest hitter right now is Michael Harris II, who has gone 18/40 in his last nine games with five homers.
Royals vs Braves Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Royals vs. Braves game is to take the Braves on the money line at -154. We have the Braves winning this one by a score of 6-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to the over/under line, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we have this game going over.
Looking at today’s starting pitchers, we have Reynaldo López finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth among all starters. As for Seth Lugo, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is seventh worst among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 28, 2024 Braves, Royals