Diamondbacks vs San Francisco MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Diamondbacks vs San Francisco Prediction 4/18/2024

The Arizona Diamondbacks (9-10) travel to face off against the San Francisco Giants (8-11) on Thursday, April 18th. This game will be played at Oracle Park in San Francisco and televised on NBCS. The Giants are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 9:45 ET.

Diamondbacks vs Giants

arizona diamondbacks nba

The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Cubs with a 5-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 8th inning before the Cubs scored two runs in the top of the 8th. Arizona was the -129 favorite at home going into the game.

Brandon Pfaadt was excellent for the Diamondbacks, going seven innings and giving up just two earned runs, and striking out six. However, the Diamondbacks couldn’t close things out, and Pfaadt took the loss. Arizona’s offense was hot early, as they scored their three runs in the 1st inning but didn’t score again the rest of the game.

After taking their series opener vs the Cubs, the Diamondbacks dropped the final two games of the series. Currently, the Diamondbacks are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by two games. Overall, they have a record of 9-10.

At home, the Diamondbacks have gone 7-6 this season, but they are just 2-4 on the road. Arizona is coming off a series win vs the Cubs, and this season, they have a series record of 3-3.

When the Diamondbacks are the favorite, they are just 6-7 against the run line. They have been a much better bet as the underdog, going 4-2. They have been a much better bet at home, going 7-6 against the run line, compared to just 3-3 on the road. Their average run margin is +1.0, but it jumps to +1.8 at home and drops to -0.7 on the road.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have an over/under record of 9-10 this season, with an average over/under line of 9 runs per game. Their games have averaged a combined 10.2 runs per game this season. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 0-0. So far, all 19 of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Ryne Nelson Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks

Ryne Nelson will be making his 4th start of the season for the Diamondbacks, and he will be on the road against the Giants. Nelson picked up a win in his last start, going 6 innings and giving up just 1 run on 7 hits. He has 13 strikeouts in 13 2/3 innings pitched so far this season.

Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown

If you’re looking for some player props for the Diamondbacks, our model has Lourdes Gurriel Jr. as a strong candidate to have a big game. He’s not only projected to have the 2nd most hits on the team, but he’s also our top projected Diamondbacks player to hit a home run. In fact, his home run projection is 8th best in the league today.

San Francisco closed out their series vs. the Marlins with a 3-1 win on the road. The Giants were the slight favorite at -114 on the money line. It was a good start for the Giants, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning and added another run in the 4th.

Keaton Winn put together a good start for the Giants, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. San Francisco’s offense was carried by Thairo Estrada, who went 2/4 with a double, a run scored, and an RBI.

As the Giants are set to take on the Diamondbacks today, they are in 4th place in the NL West. Currently, they are three games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. In total, the Giants have a record of 8-11.

Looking at their overall series record, the Giants are 2-3-1 this season. When playing at home, they are 3-3 compared to 5-8 on the road. San Francisco got back on track in their most recent game vs. the Marlins.

When betting the run line, the Giants have been a better play on the road than at home this season. They have gone 7-6 against the run line on the road, compared to just 1-5 at home. They have gone 2-8 against the run line as the favorite and 6-3 as the underdog. Their average run differential is -0.6 runs per game this season.

San Francisco Giants games have gone over the over/under line in 11 of 19 games this season, and their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the over is 5-2, and the average over/under line in their games this season has been 8 runs per game.

Logan Webb Gets The Start For The Giants

Logan Webb is getting the start for the Giants at home against the Diamondbacks. He has had a solid start to the season, going 1-0 with a win in his last outing against the Rays, where he went 7 innings and gave up just 1 earned run. Webb has 17 strikeouts in his 3 starts this season.

Giants Offense Breakdown

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When looking at the Giants’ offensive projections, we see that Jung Hoo Lee is expected to have a big game at the plate. His total hits projection is 2nd best in the league today. Jorge Soler has the 3rd best home run projection in the league, and his total hits projection is 5th on the team. LaMonte Wade Jr. is 5th in the league in total hits projections and his home run projection is 6th in the league today.

 

Diamondbacks vs Giants Prediction

 

Our prediction for the Giants vs. Diamondbacks game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. We actually have the Giants winning this one 6-5, but with the payout for a Giants win sitting at -170, we think there is more value in taking the over.

Looking at some potential player props, we have Logan Webb finishing with four strikeouts, which would have him finishing second among all starters today. As for Diamondbacks starter Ryne Nelson, we have him ending the game with five K’s, which would have him finishing fourth.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.