Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Francisco Giants vs Miami Marlins Prediction 4/15/2024

The San Francisco Giants (6-10) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (3-13) on Monday, April 15th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on NBCS. Both the Giants and Marlins are looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Giants vs Marlins

san francisco giants nba

The Giants will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Rays with a 9-4 loss. San Francisco was actually the slight favorite on the money line going into the game but fell behind big early, as the Rays scored three times in the first.

Blake Snell had a rough outing, giving up seven earned runs on six hits and issuing two walks. The Giants also wasted a big game from Michael Conforto, who homered in the first but went just 1/4. The Giants scored their other three runs in the 6th.

As the Giants are on the road today vs. the Marlins, they are looking to pick up a win, as they are currently 6-10 and in 4th place in the NL West. In their division, they are four games behind the Dodgers. So far, they have really struggled in night games, going 1-7.

When playing on the road, the Giants are 3-7 compared to 3-3 at home. San Francisco is coming off a series loss to the Rays and, overall, they have a series record of 1-3-1 this season.

The Giants have a negative run differential of -0.8 runs per game this season, but they have been a profitable team to bet on the run line, going 7-9. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 6-4, compared to just 1-5 at home. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 6-3 on the run line, compared to just 1-6 as a favorite.

San Francisco’s over/under record is 10-6, and their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game. The over has hit in two straight games, and their games have gone over the total in 56.2% of games this season. Their average over/under line is 8 runs, but their games with an over/under line of 8.5 runs have gone 4-3 this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Marlins is set at 8.5 runs.

Kyle Harrison Gets The Start For The Giants

Kyle Harrison and the Giants are on the road to take on the Marlins. Harrison has started 3 games this season, and he has a win and a no-decision to show for it. His last outing was a loss to the Dodgers, where he gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings of work. In his first start of the year, he went 6 innings and struck out 8 but gave up 5 hits and 3 earned runs.

Giants Offense Breakdown

Our player projections for the Giants’ offense have Wilmer Flores as our top power hitting option. His home run projection is the best on the team and 9th best in the league today. If you’re looking for a Giants player to pick up a hit, we have Jung Hoo Lee as our top projected player in that category. Jorge Soler is 4th on the team in terms of total hits, but his total home run projection is 9th best in the league today. Tom Murphy is 2nd on the team in terms of home run projection, and his total is 10th best in the league.

Miami is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 9-7 loss to the Braves, Bryan De La Cruz went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Marlins also got a big game from Nick Gordon, going 1/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Jesús Luzardo got the start for the Marlins and took the loss. He only lasted five innings, giving up five earned runs on seven hits. Tanner Scott also had a rough outing, giving up three earned runs in the 9th to blow the Marlins’ lead.

Miami is really struggling this season, as they have a record of 3-13 heading into today’s game vs. the Giants. The Marlins are in 5th place in the NL East, seven games behind the Braves. So far, they have yet to win a series, going 0-5.

When playing at home, the Marlins are 1-9 compared to 2-4 on the road. Coming into today’s game, they have been the underdog nine times and have gone 3-6 in those games. As the favorite, Miami is 0-7 this season.

The Marlins have been a poor run line bet this season, going just 4-12 overall. They have been especially bad at home, where they are just 1-9 against the run line. As the favorite, they are 0-7, but as the underdog, they are 4-5. Their average run margin is -2.2 runs per game, but in their wins, it is +4.7 runs per game.

The Miami Marlins have had a high-scoring season so far, with a combined run average of 9.7 runs per game. Their over/under record is 10-6, and when the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 6 of 9 games. Overall, their games have averaged 8 runs per game, but the over/under line for today’s game against the San Francisco Giants is set at 8.5 runs.

A.J. Puk Gets The Start For The Marlins

After starting the season with 3 straight losses, A.J. Puk will be looking to pick up his first win of the season for the Marlins as they take on the Giants. Puk has gone 4, 4 2/3, and 2 innings in his 3 starts this season and has given up a total of 7 runs.

Marlins Offense Breakdown

miami marlins

When looking at the Marlins’ offensive projections for today, we see that Luis Arraez is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but his total is 4th best in the league today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is not far behind Arraez in terms of total hits, but he is the favorite to hit a home run for the Marlins, with his home run projection ranking 9th in the league today. If you are looking for a player who is not the favorite to hit a home run but still has a good chance, Josh Bell’s home run projection is 12th best in the league today.

 

Giants vs Marlins Prediction

 

There are a few ways you could look to play this one, but we are going to stick with the money line and take the Marlins to pick up the win at home. At +101, there is a good amount of value in this pick, and we have them winning this one by a score of 5-4.

If you are looking for a potential parlay, you could look to pair the Marlins with an over pick, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs. However, in our projections, we have this one staying under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.