San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 5/3/2024

The San Francisco Giants (15-17) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (21-11) on Friday, May 3rd. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on APLTV. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Giants vs Phillies

san francisco giants nba

The Giants’s offense was carried by Mike Yastrzemski in their most recent game vs. the Red Sox. Yastrzemski went only 1/2, but his one hit was a home run, and he drove in three runs. The Giants really only had one big inning, scoring their other two runs in the 3rd.

Kyle Harrison got the start for the Giants, going five innings and giving up just one run on three hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win.

The Giants kick off their series vs. the Phillies four games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. San Francisco is 15-17 overall and 6-8 in NL West games. They lost two of three in their most recent series vs. the Red Sox.

So far, the Giants have been good at home, going 9-7 compared to 6-10 on the road. As the favorite, the Giants are 10-9 this season and 5-8 as the underdog. Heading into today’s game, they have an overall series record of 4-4-2.

San Francisco has been a tough team to predict on the run line this season, as they have a negative average run margin overall and have gone 14-18 against the run line. The Giants have been slightly better against the run line on the road, going 8-8, compared to 6-10 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 8-5 against the run line in those games.

San Francisco’s over/under record for the season is 14-17, and the average over/under line for their games has been set at 8 runs. However, when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the Giants have gone over the total in seven of 12 games. Their games have averaged 8.3 total runs per game this season, and their last six games have all gone under the total.

Jordan Hicks Gets The Start For The Giants

Right-hander Jordan Hicks gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made six starts this season and has a record of 2-0 with an ERA of 1.59. So far, Hicks has made three quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that start, he finished with a no-decision. Hicks has not taken a loss since April 10th. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.15 strikeouts and 2.65 walks.

Giants Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Giants offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 21st in the league. Their home and road splits are very similar, with the team averaging 4.2 runs per game on the road and 3.4 at home. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 12th in the league, and are also near the middle of the pack in terms of strikeouts and walks.

Michael Conforto, Matt Chapman, and Jorge Soler are the Giants’ top power threats, with each of them having at least four homers. Conforto and Soler are tied for the team lead with five home runs. However, Soler is batting just .212 for the season and has gone just 5/33 in his last 10 games. Chapman has also struggled of late, going 9/39 in his last 10 games.

Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Phillies closed out the series with a 2-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -217. Offensively, the Phillies only scored two runs on seven hits and didn’t hit a home run.

Zack Wheeler got the start for the Phillies, going five innings and giving up just one run on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

With an overall record of 21-11, the Phillies are just a half-game behind the Braves for the NL East lead. The Phillies will host the Giants today with a 2-game winning streak, and they went 2-1 in their most recent series vs. the Angels. So far, they are 3-3 in divisional games.

At home, the Phillies are 10-6 this season and have gone 11-5 on the road. As the favorite, the Phillies are 17-8 this year and 4-3 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Phillies are 6-2-2 and have won two straight series.

Philadelphia has a run line record of 16-16 this season, going 7-9 at home and 9-7 on the road. They have covered the run line in three straight games at home and are 12-13 against the run line as the favorite. Their average run differential is +0.8 runs per game.

Philadelphia has played 23 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5, and the over/under record is 14-17. The average combined run total in those games has been 8.5 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over/under record is 2-6. The Phillies have played just one game with a lower over/under line than 7.5 runs this season.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Through six starts, Aaron Nola has a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 3.20. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he went eight innings and gave up three earned runs. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Nola has been pitching well at home, going 3-0 with a 2.12 ERA. On the road, he is 1-1 with a 5.31 ERA. So far, he has done a good job of limiting walks, coming in at 2.52 per nine innings. Nola’s ERA for the season is 3.20.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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Over his last 10 games, Alec Bohm has been on fire for the Phillies, going 21/42 with six runs scored and 12 RBIs. This has helped him take over the team’s top spot in RBIs, as he is batting .362 for the season. Bohm’s four homers is 2nd on the team, behind Kyle Schwarber’s eight, but Schwarber is hitting just .211 for the year and has gone 8/40 in his last 10 games.

As a team, the Phillies are 3rd in the league in home runs and are batting .255, which is the 5th best mark in the league. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. Philadelphia has been a good road hitting team this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game.

Giants vs Phillies Prediction

With the Giants being listed at +128 on the money line, that is the route we recommend going for today’s Giants vs. Phillies matchup. We have the Giants winning this one by a final score of 5-4.

Looking at today’s starters, we do have Aaron Nola finishing with more strikeouts than the Giants’ Jordan Hicks. However, Nola is projected to finish with six K’s, and Hicks with four, so there is not a big enough difference in their strikeout numbers to look at a prop bet.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.