San Francisco Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Giants vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 5/4/2024

The San Francisco Giants (15-18) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (22-11) on Saturday, May 4th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on NBCS. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Giants are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:05 ET.

Giants vs Phillies

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Philadelphia picked up a 4-3 win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a three-run 3rd inning and scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 7th. As for the Giants, they scored two runs in the 4th and added their final run in the 7th.

Aaron Nola got the start for the Phillies, going just four innings while giving up two runs and striking out four. Matt Strahm got the win out of the bullpen, and Jose Alvarado got the save. Jordan Hicks only went four innings for the Giants, giving up two earned runs on four hits.

Trea Turner went 2/3 with a run scored and an RBI for the Phillies, while Brandon Marsh also drove in two runs. Thairo Estrada and LaMonte Wade Jr. each had two hits and two RBIs for the Giants.

As the Giants are on the road today vs. the Phillies, they are looking to pick up a win to get back to .500, as they are currently 15-18 overall. San Francisco is 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 5.5 games. So far, they have gone just 6-8 in divisional games.

San Francisco has an even 4-4-2 record in series this year, and they are 5-5 over their last 10 games. The Giants have been good at home, going 9-7, but they are just 6-11 on the road this season.

San Francisco has been a solid bet on the run line this season, with a 15-18 record. They are 9-8 on the run line on the road, and have covered in two straight games. The Giants have been a better bet as an underdog, going 9-5 on the run line in those games. They are 6-13 on the run line as the favorite.

The San Francisco Giants are on the road today against the Philadelphia Phillies. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs, which is slightly lower than the Giants’ average combined run average of 8.2 runs per game this season. The Giants have played 31 games this season, and 19 of those games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 14-17, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 7-5.

Keaton Winn Gets The Start For The Giants

Keaton Winn has been pitching well for the Giants, as he has a record of 3-3 and an ERA of 3.18. So far, he has made six starts and three of them have been quality starts. Looking at his overall numbers, Winn has a WHIP of .97 and is averaging 7.41 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he faced the Pirates and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. He has only given up one earned run in each of his last three outings. Winn’s home ERA is 3.0, and his road ERA is 3.5.

Giants Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Giants are batting .238, which is 13th in the league. However, they are near the bottom of the league in runs per game, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. This is a result of being near the bottom of the league in home runs and having an on-base percentage of just .303. San Francisco does have two players who are in the top 10 in home runs, with Michael Conforto and Jorge Soler each having five homers this season.

Thairo Estrada comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 6/22 in his last six games with a home run and four RBIs. Over the same stretch, Mike Yastrzemski has two homers and three RBIs while batting .267. For the season, Conforto and Soler are both batting around .250, but Matt Chapman is batting just .220.

With an overall record of 22-11, the Phillies lead the NL East by a half-game over the Braves. The Phillies are on a three-game winning streak, and they have gone 3-3 in divisional games this year. At home, the Phillies are 11-6 and have gone 11-5 on the road.

Philadelphia has been a good team to bet on this year, as they are 18-8 as the favorite and 4-3 as the underdog. Currently, the Phillies are on a seven-game winning streak at home. Their overall series record is 6-2-2, and they have won two straight series overall. Looking at how they have done recently, the Phillies are 7-3 over their last 10 games.

The Phillies have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 9-7. They have an average run margin of 1.4 runs per game away from home. However, their overall run line record is just below .500 at 16-17. They have been a favorite in 26 of their 33 games, going 12-14 against the run line in those contests.

The Philadelphia Phillies have played 23 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 69.7% of their games. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 14-17. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, their record is 2-6.

Ranger Suárez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Ranger Suárez gets the start for the Phillies today and comes in with a record of 5-0 and an ERA of 1.32. So far, he has made six starts and has one complete game shutout. Suárez has turned in five quality starts and has a WHIP of 0.63. In his most recent outing, he went eight innings, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Suárez has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his last four outings. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.78 strikeouts and just 1.1 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Phillies are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They are also near the top of the league in home runs and have the 4th best team batting average in the league. Alec Bohm has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, batting .358 with four homers, which is 2nd on the team. His 31 RBIs are also the best in the league.

Over his last eight games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 7/33 at the plate with two homers and seven RBIs. This has come during a stretch where he is batting just .205 for the season. Bryce Harper has also struggled of late, going just 5/25 in his last eight games. However, he does have six homers for the season.

Giants vs Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Giants vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to pick up the win, and at -184, there is some value in taking them on the money line. We see this one ending with a final score of 5-4 in favor of the Phillies.

However, if you’re looking to add some value to your bet, we recommend taking the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. Our projections have the Phillies combining for 14 hits and the Giants with 8, so there is some room for error with the line sitting at 7.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.