Mets vs San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Mets vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 4/23/2024

The New York Mets (12-10) travel to face off against the San Francisco Giants (11-13) on Tuesday, April 23rd. This game will be played at Oracle Park in San Francisco and televised on NBCS. The Giants are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 9:45 ET.

Mets vs Giants

new york mets nba

San Francisco picked up a 5-2 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a two-run lead after the 2nd inning and added three more runs in the 3rd. As for the Mets, they scored their only two runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Giants were favored at -112 on the money line.

Keaton Winn pitched well for the Giants in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Jose Quintana struggled on the mound for the Mets, giving up five earned runs in five innings of work.

Pete Alonso hit the game’s only home run while going 2/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Michael Conforto did a bit of everything for the Giants, going 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

New York is 12-10 overall this season and has lost two straight games. The Mets lost the final two games of their series vs. the Dodgers. In the NL East, the Mets are 3.5 games behind the Braves and are in 3rd place. Against other teams in the NL East, the Mets are 2-1 this season.

So far, the Mets have been good in night games, going 6-2. They have also been good in series, as they are 5-2 this year and have won five straight series. As the underdog, the Mets have lost two straight games, and they are 5-4 as the road underdog this year.

The Mets have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 12-10 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 7-3 in those games. Their average run margin for the season is +0.4 runs per game, and they have a +0.6 run differential on the road. They have covered the run line in their last two games, but they are just 5-7 on the run line as the favorite this season.

The Mets have played 22 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 7.5 in five of them. The under has hit in three of those five games, and the over has hit in two of them. The Mets’ games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 12-10 overall.

Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets

Luis Severino is on the road today against the Giants. He has started 3 games this season, and has picked up wins in his last 2 starts. In his most recent outing, he went 6 innings and struck out 4, while only allowing 1 run on 5 hits. Severino has 15 strikeouts in 16 innings of work this season.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Starling Marte has been a key part of the Mets lineup so far, as he is batting .286 for the season and has gone 7/25 in his last six games, including two homers. His eight RBIs in this stretch are the most on the team. Pete Alonso has also gone deep in one of his last six games, and for the season, he is batting .253 with a team-high seven home runs. Alonso’s 12 RBIs are tied with Brandon Nimmo for the 2nd most on the team.

As a team, the Mets are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.8 runs per contest. New York is batting .245 as a team, which is 10th in the league, and are the 7th ranked home run hitting team in the league. Collectively, they are the 2nd toughest team to strike out against.

San Francisco will be at home today as they take on the Mets, and the Giants are 11-13 overall this season. The Giants are in 4th place in the NL West, and they are two games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. San Francisco is 6-8 against other teams in the NL West this season.

The Giants have gone 2-3-2 in series this year, and they are coming off splitting a four-game series with the Diamondbacks. So far, the Giants have gone 6-5 at home compared to 5-8 on the road.

When the Giants win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 4.5 runs per game. Their run line record is 11-13, with a -0.8 run differential per game. The Giants are 7-6 against the run line on the road and 4-7 at home. They are 4-10 against the run line as the favorite and 7-3 as the underdog.

The Giants have played 23 games so far this season, and the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in nine of them. The over has hit in six of those nine games, giving the Giants a 6-3 record when the line is set at 7.5 runs. Overall, the Giants have a 13-10 over/under record this season, and their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game.

Logan Webb Gets The Start For The Giants

Logan Webb is getting the start for the Giants at home against the Mets. So far this season, Webb has a 2-0 record, and in his last outing, he went 7 innings and picked up a win vs. the Diamondbacks. He has 16 strikeouts in 21 innings of work this season.

Giants Offense Breakdown

san francisco giants

San Francisco’s offense has been pretty average this season, as they are 18th in the league at 4.2 runs per game. However, they have been better on the road, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. The Giants are also among the league leaders in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the league.

Michael Conforto comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak and leads the team with five homers and 16 RBIs. However, he is just 4/20 over his last five games. Jung Hoo Lee and Jorge Soler have also been swinging the bat well of late, with Lee going 7/18 and Soler 7/20 in their last six games, respectively.


Mets vs Giants Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Mets vs. Giants game is to take the Giants on the money line at -155. We actually have the Giants winning this one 6-5, so there is a little bit of value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Logan Webb is actually projected to finish with the second-fewest strikeouts among starters today, so his strikeout line could be a good spot to look for a prop bet. As for Luis Severino, his strikeout projection is at six, which is the third-best among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.