The Washington Nationals (24-28) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (30-21) on Tuesday, May 28th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSO. The Nationals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Braves are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 7:20 ET.
Nationals vs Braves
Washington cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Braves in the most recent game of this series. The Nationals had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Braves, they scored their first run in the 5th and added three more in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Nationals were at +179 on the money line.
Mitchell Parker got the win for the Nationals, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. Charlie Morton had a rough outing for the Braves, taking the loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up eight earned runs.
Offensively, the Nationals were led by CJ Abrams and Jacob Young, as they were the only two Nationals hitters to have more than one hit. Abrams, Jesse Winker, and Keibert Ruiz each had two RBIs for Washington’s offense.
Washington is 24-28 overall and 3rd in the NL East, trailing the Phillies by 12.5 games. So far, they are 6-5 in divisional games. The Nationals took the first game of the series vs. the Braves and have an overall series record of 6-10-1 this year.
At home, the Nationals are just 10-13 this year, but they have been better on the road at 14-15. This season, the Nationals are 3-2 as the favorite and 21-26 as the underdog. Looking at their recent games, the Nationals are 4-6 over their last 10.
Washington has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 32-20 overall. The Nationals have been particularly good on the road, where they are 19-10 against the run line. They have been an underdog in most of those games, going 29-18 against the run line when getting points.
The Washington Nationals are on the road to face the Atlanta Braves today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Nationals have an over/under record of 23-27 on the season, and their games have averaged a combined 8.4 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 8-9. Overall, 26.9% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s, and their current over streak is at 2 games.
Jake Irvin Gets The Start For The Nationals
Jake Irvin gets the start for the Nationals today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 10 starts this season and has a record of 2-5 with a 3.79 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has a WHIP of 1.07 and opponents are batting .232 this season. One thing to note is that Irvin has turned in five quality starts this year. In his most recent outing, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings.
Nationals Offense Breakdown
Washington’s offense has been one of the worst in the league this season, averaging just 4.1 runs per game, which is 22nd in the majors. They are also near the bottom of the league in most other offensive categories, including team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. The Nationals do have two hitters with at least 26 RBIs, with CJ Abrams and Luis Garcia Jr. both having gone deep five and nine times, respectively.
Over his last eight games, CJ Abrams has gone just 7/33 at the plate, while Luis Garcia Jr. is hitting just .188 over that same stretch. However, Garcia Jr. has two homers in his last eight games. Eddie Rosario has gone deep seven times this season but is batting just .174 for the year and has gone 5/31 in his last eight games.
At 30-21 this season, the Braves are six games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. Atlanta leads the series, as they are 10-6 against other teams in the NL East. So far, they have been good at home, going 16-9, and they are just above .500 at 14-12 on the road.
Atlanta has struggled a bit recently, going just 4-6 over their last ten games, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Nationals. This year, the Braves have been the favorite in most of their games, going 29-18 in those matchups. As for their record as the home favorite, it is also 16-9 this year.
Atlanta has been a solid run line bet this season, going 26-25 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 15-11, compared to 11-14 at home. They have been a favorite in most games, going 23-24, but have been a solid bet as an underdog, going 3-1. They have an average run margin of 0.8 runs per game, with a scoring margin of 1.3 runs per game on the road and 0.4 runs per game at home.
The Braves are set to play the Nationals at home today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. Atlanta’s games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 18-31. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, their over/under record is 4-9. In 47.1% of their games, the line has been set higher than 8.5 runs, and in 27.5% of their games, the line has been set lower. The over has hit in their last two games.
Max Fried Gets The Start For The Braves
Max Fried gets the start for the Braves today and is coming off a strong outing vs. the Cubs. In that May 22nd start, he went nine innings, picking up the win and giving up just one earned run. Looking back over his last four starts, Fried has gone at least seven innings three times and has a shutout in that span. Fried’s ERA for the season is 3.38, along with a record of 4-2. Opponents are batting .194 vs. Fried this season. So far, he has made two complete games and has one shutout.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top hitter this season, as he is batting .310 with 15 home runs and 47 RBIs. Ozuna has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 9/36 in his last 10 games with three homers. Matt Olson has also been swinging a good bat of late, going 10/41 in his last 10 games, including three homers. However, Olson is batting just .230 for the season.
As a team, the Braves are 8th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .252, which is 6th in the league, and are 7th in both slugging and OPS.
Nationals vs Braves Prediction
Our predicted final score for this one is 5-4 in favor of the Braves, and with the money line payout being -247, we are actually recommending taking the over at 8.5 runs. You can get the over at -104, and we have the Braves winning by a run, so there is some room for error if you want to take the over/under.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Max Fried is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Jake Irvin with just four. Fried is also predicted to go deeper into the game, and we have him finishing with 17th among starters in terms of earned runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 28, 2024 Braves, Nationals