New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/10/2024

The New York Mets (4-7) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (7-3) on Wednesday, April 10th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on SNY. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mets. First pitch is set for 7:20 ET.

Mets vs Braves

new york mets nba

The Braves and Mets played a close game in the last matchup of this series, with the Braves pulling out a 6-5 win at home. Despite being outhit 12-11, the Braves were able to do enough to get the win. The Mets hit one more home run than the Braves, but the Braves pitching staff held the Mets to just one run after the 8th inning.

Neither team scored more than one run in any inning until the 8th, when the Mets put up three runs. In response, the Braves scored two runs in the 9th to secure the win. Reynaldo Lopez got the start for Atlanta and didn’t give up a run in his six innings of work, while Adrian Houser took the loss for the Mets, giving up five earned runs.

Despite the Mets’ offense putting up five runs, Pete Alonso was the only Mets hitter to drive in more than one run. He finished with three RBIs and went 2/4 with a home run. On the other side, Ronald Acuna Jr. scored three runs for the Braves but didn’t drive in a run.

Currently, the Mets are on the road against the Braves and are looking to even up the series after dropping the first game. Overall, they are 4-7 this season and are in 4th place in the NL East, trailing the Nationals by 1 game for 3rd place. So far, they have gone 1-1 in division games.

As a road underdog, the Mets are 2-2 and have gone 3-2 overall on the road this season. They have struggled at home, going just 1-5, but have a chance to get back to .500 on the road with a win today.

Despite a losing run differential on the season, the Mets have been a solid bet on the run line, going 4-7 overall. They’ve been especially good on the road, going 4-1 on the run line, including covering in three straight games. They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 3-1 on the run line in those games.

The Mets have gone over the total in two straight games, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Braves is 9.5 runs, and the Mets’ over/under record this season is 5-6. The over has hit in 2 of the 2 games this season with a 9.5 run over/under line, and the Mets have had lines set at 9.5 runs in just 9.1% of their games this season.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Jose Quintana will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Mets, and he will be on the road against the Braves. Quintana has a loss and a no-decision in his first two starts, and he has given up 3 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings of work. He has 8 strikeouts and has allowed 1 home run.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Our Mets player prop projections have Pete Alonso as the most likely player to hit a home run in this game, as his home run projection is 11th best in today’s slate of games. As for total hits, Brandon Nimmo has the highest projection on the team, while Starling Marte is 2nd. If you’re looking for a long shot to hit a home run, Francisco Alvarez has the 2nd best odds on the team and 15th best in the league today.

Allan Winans Gets The Start For The Braves

Allan Winans is coming off a season in which he made six starts and finished with a record of 1-2. His ERA for the season was 5.29, and he allowed a batting average of .287. In terms of quality starts, he had two, and his FIP for the season was 4.09. Last season, he made two appearances against the Mets and finished with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 4.85.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Our player projections for the Braves today have Ronald Acuña Jr. as our top player in terms of total hits for the team and in the entire league. He also has the 7th best odds in the league to hit a home run. Marcell Ozuna has the top odds to hit a home run in the league today and is 5th in terms of total hits in the league. Austin Riley is 3rd in terms of total hits in the league and has the 4th best odds to hit a home run on the team.


Mets vs Braves Prediction


Our prediction for the Mets vs. Braves game is to take the over at 9.5 runs. We have the Braves winning this one by a score of 6-4, which gives us plenty of room on the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Jose Quintana’s chances of picking up a win as the third best among starters today. However, we have him going just five innings, and his strikeout numbers are also not great.

Offensively, the Braves are our top team in terms of projected runs and also home runs. As for the Mets, they are actually one of the teams we have with the fewest runs today and have them finishing with just seven team strikeouts.

With the money line, the Braves are paying out at -167, and while we do have them winning, we prefer the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.