The New York Mets (87-69) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (85-71) on Tuesday, September 24th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on SNY. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.
Mets vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Braves (-143)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
- The Braves have scored an average of 6.4 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- The Braves have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- The Braves have a higher overall win percentage (.545) compared to the Mets (.558) in the last 15 games.
- The Braves have outscored their opponents by 26 runs in their last 15 games.
- The Braves have won 3 out of the last 4 head-to-head games against the Mets.
Mets vs Braves
The Mets Are Coming Off A Win
The Mets’s offense was carried by Brandon Nimmo in their most recent game vs. the Phillies, a 2-1 win. Nimmo went only 1/4, but his one hit was a home run, and the Mets scored their other run on a Tylor Megill single. New York was the +120 underdog at home going into this game.
Tylor Megill got the start for the Mets, going four innings and giving up just one run on four hits. He only had six K’s in the outing and got the win.
Currently, the Mets are on a two-game winning streak and have won two straight series. They have an 87-69 record and are 5.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East. This season, the Mets are 58-37 as favorites and 29-32 as underdogs. Their series record is 27-17-8.
For the season, Mets games have averaged 9.1 runs, and their over/under record is 79-72. In games with an over/under line of 8 runs, the over has hit 15 times, the under 9 times, and there has been one push. Today’s O/U line is set at 8 runs, which is lower than usual, as 51.9% of their games have had higher total lines.
Luis Severino Gets The Start For The Mets
Luis Severino gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Braves on the road. So far this season, he has made 30 starts and has a record of 11-6 to go along with a 3.79 ERA. In his 30 appearances, Severino has turned in 14 quality starts and is averaging 7.89 strikeouts per nine innings. The right-hander has been solid at home, coming in with a 7-2 record and 3.64 ERA. On the road, his record is 4-4 with a 4.92 ERA. Severino’s most recent outing came on September 19th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs on five hits. He has allowed at least one homer in three straight outings.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 5th in the league in runs per game at 4.8. They have been even better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 4th in the league in home runs and have the 9th best team batting average in the MLB at .248. New York has been getting on base at a good clip this season, as they are 6th in the league in on-base percentage.
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been two of the Mets’ top power threats this season, with Alonso leading the team with 34 homers and Lindor right behind him with 31. Lindor comes into the game with a four-game hitting streak and is batting .271 for the season. Jose Iglesias has been on fire of late, going 17/39 in his last nine games.
The Braves Are Coming Off A Win
The Braves’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Marlins, closing out their series with a 5-4 win. After allowing one run to the Marlins in the 2nd inning, the Braves responded with a run of their own and added another in the 3rd. Atlanta’s big inning came in the 5th, as they scored two runs to take the lead. The Braves went on to close things out with Raisel Iglesias picking up the save.
Grant Holmes got the start for the Braves, going four innings and giving up two earned runs, and picking up the win. Atlanta’s offense was carried by Gio Urshela, who went 3/4 with a homer and a run scored. The Braves also had three other players with two hits.
Atlanta has a 26-23 record in divisional games this year, and they are currently 3rd in the NL East with an 85-71 overall record. They are 2 games behind the Cardinals for the second Wild Card spot and trail the Phillies by 7.5 games for the division lead.
As the favorite, the Braves have a 72-53 straight-up record and are 56-69 against the run line. Their average run differential is +0.6 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 58-92. When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, the Braves have a 9-16-1 record.
Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves
Right-hander Spencer Schwellenbach gets the start for the Braves today vs. the Mets and comes in with a record of 7-7 and an ERA of 3.61. Schwellenbach has made 19 starts this season and has pitched well at home, coming in with a record of 4-4 and an ERA of 4.06. He has made 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.68 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Schwellenbach picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run vs. the Reds. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Marcell Ozuna and Matt Olson have provided a lot of power for the Braves this season, as Ozuna’s 38 homers are 5th in the league, while Olson has gone deep 29 times. Ozuna is also batting .309 for the season and comes into the game on a six-game hitting streak. Olson has been even better of late, going 8/17 with three homers over his last five games. Michael Harris II has also been swinging a hot bat, going 12/25 in his last five games with three homers.
Overall, the Braves are 3rd in home runs and are averaging 4.4 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and have the 6th best isolated power mark in the MLB.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
Our prediction for this Mets vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line at -143. We actually have the Braves winning this game by a score of 6-5, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Spencer Schwellenbach finishing with six strikeouts compared to Luis Severino with six. However, we do have Severino going longer in this one, as he is projected to finish with seven innings compared to Schwellenbach with six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 24, 2024 Braves, Mets