The New York Mets (87-70) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (86-71) on Wednesday, September 25th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on SNY. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.
Mets vs. Braves Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Mets (+158)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Mets have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game over their last 15 games.
- The Mets have won 10 out of their last 15 games, indicating strong recent form.
- The Mets have a 6-4 record in their last 10 away games.
- The Mets have outscored the Braves 16-4 in their last head-to-head away game.
- The Mets have a better overall away record (41-35) compared to the Braves’ home record (43-33).
Mets vs Braves
The most recent game o of this Mets and Braves series came right after the All-Star break. New York had a late rally in the 7th inning, scoring their only run and picking up a 1-0 road win. Heading into the game, the Mets were at +123 on the money line.
Atlanta’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding three more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Mets didn’t get on the board until the 7th. Both teams finished with just four hits.
Spencer Schwellenbach pitched well for the Braves in this one, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished with four strikeouts but issued five walks. As for the Mets, Luis Severino got the start and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work.
Currently, the Mets are 5.5 games behind the Phillies in the NL East and trail them by a half-game for the second Wild Card spot. They lost the first game of this series vs. the Braves and have an overall division record of 29-21.
For the season, the Mets have an over/under record of 79-73, with their games averaging 9.1 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the over has hit 21 times and the under 17 times. The Mets’ average run margin in all games is +0.5 runs per game, with their average margin of victory at +3.7 runs and their average margin of defeat at -3.5 runs.
David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets
David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Braves on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 9-3 with a 3.08 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .244 this year. In his 20 appearances, Peterson has turned in 11 quality starts. The left-hander’s last outing came on September 20th, where he took the loss, going 3 2/3 innings and giving up four earned runs. Before that, he had gone 7 2/3 innings without giving up an earned run. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-1 and an ERA of 3.13 compared to 4-2 with a 3.77 ERA at home.
Mets Offense Breakdown
Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been the Mets’ top power threats this season, as Alonso leads the team with 34 homers, and Lindor is right behind him with 31. Lindor is also batting .271 for the season, and Alonso comes in with a batting average of .242. Lindor has gone deep four times in his last eight games, while Alonso has three homers in that stretch.
Over his last nine games, Jose Iglesias has gone 16/38 (.421) with one home run and two RBIs. He is also on a 17-game hitting streak. Luisangel Acuña has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/28 with three homers in his last nine games. Both of these hitters will look to keep their hot streaks going for the Mets, who are 7th in runs scored this season at 4.8 per game.
Atlanta is currently 3rd in the NL East with an 86-71 record, trailing the Phillies by 6.5 games. They have won three straight games and are 6-4 in their last 10. The Braves have covered the run line in 57 of 126 games as the favorite and in 18 of 31 games as the underdog.
When favored at home, the Braves are 41-29 straight up and 32-44 against the run line. Their over/under record for games with a total of 7.5 runs is 13-20, and their combined run average this season is 8.2 runs per game.
Chris Sale Gets The Start For The Braves
Chris Sale gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 18-3 and an ERA of 2.38. He has made 29 starts this season and has pitched well at home, going 10-0 with a 2.75 ERA. Overall, he has a WHIP of 1.01 and is coming off a start in which he gave up two earned runs in five innings of work. Sale got the win in that outing. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Sale has made 18 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.4 strikeouts per nine innings.
Braves Offense Breakdown
Over his last 10 games, Michael Harris II has been on fire for the Braves, going 19/45 with five home runs and 10 RBIs. Harris is currently on an eight-game hitting streak. Marcell Ozuna has also been swinging the bat well, as he is on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .310 for the season, to go along with 39 homers (5th in MLB) and 102 RBIs (11th in the league).
As a team, the Braves are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 16th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, the Braves are 4th in home runs and have the league’s 11th best team batting average.
Mets vs Braves Prediction
Based on the money line, we like the Mets to pick up a win on the road against the Braves. With the money line sitting at +158, there is a good amount of value in picking the Mets to come out on top.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we do have Chris Sale picking up more strikeouts than David Peterson, but Sale’s money line odds are sitting at -188. Our projections have Sale finishing with seven K’s, while Peterson is projected to finish with six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 25, 2024 Braves, Mets