Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Phillies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 8/20/2024

The Philadelphia Phillies (73-51) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (66-58) on Tuesday, August 20th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSO. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nationals. First pitch is set for 6:20 CT.

Phillies vs. Braves Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Braves (+109)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8 Runs
  • The Braves have scored an average of 5.8 runs per game over their last 15 games.
  • In their last 15 games, the Braves have a winning record of 8-7, indicating solid recent performance.
  • At home, the Braves have a record of 32-26, showing a strong home-field advantage.
  • In their last 3 head-to-head games against the Phillies, the Braves have won 2 out of 3 games.
  • The Braves have outscored their opponents by a total of 21 runs in their last 5 home games.

Phillies vs Braves

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The Braves Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Phillies will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Nationals with a 6-4 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Nationals scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Philadelphia was the -163 favorite at home going into the game.

Taijuan Walker got the start for the Phillies, going 4 2/3 innings, and took the loss. He only gave up three earned runs, but the Phillies’ offense scored only one run after he exited the game. Trea Turner had a big game at the plate, going 2/4 with a homer and three RBIs.

Philadelphia has a 73-51 overall record and leads the NL East by seven games over the Braves. The Phillies are 19-12 in divisional matchups this year and have a 42-23 home record. As the favorite, they have a 62-39 straight-up record but are 11-12 as underdogs. Their overall series record is 21-14-6.

When the O/U line is set at 8 runs, the Phillies have a 17-13-1 O/U record. Their average run total per game this season is 9.0 runs, and the O/U line has been set at 8 runs or higher in 49.2% of their games.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Zack Wheeler has been pitching well for the Phillies this season, coming into the game with a record of 12-5 and an ERA of 2.72. In his 24 starts, he has turned in 18 quality starts, and his ERA is 2.68 at home compared to 3.91 on the road. Wheeler’s most recent outing came vs. the Nationals, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Wheeler is currently ranked third in the league in starter wins. Per nine innings, he is averaging 9.81 strikeouts compared to just 2.6 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia’s offense has been one of the league’s best this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.3 runs per contest. The Phillies are near the top of the league in batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. They have three players with at least 25 homers, led by Kyle Schwarber’s 28 long balls.

Over his last six games, Alec Bohm has gone 6/22 with four runs scored and one homer. For the season, he is batting .296 and is 9th in the league with 85 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper also have strong power numbers, with Schwarber being 13th in the league in RBIs and Harper’s 26 homers putting him 2nd on the team and 11th in the MLB.

The Braves Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into their last game vs. the Angels, the Braves closed out the series with a 3-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -187. Offensively, the Braves scored their three runs on eight hits and only hit one home run.

Charlie Morton got the start for the Braves, going 5 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He was also sharp, giving up just one run on two hits and striking out seven. The Braves’s bullpen closed things out, and Raisel Iglesias picked up the save.

Atlanta has a 66-58 record and is seven games behind the Phillies in the NL East. They have won two straight games and have an overall series record of 20-15-5, winning two straight series. The Braves are 32-26 at home and 34-32 on the road this season.

Braves games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, resulting in a 47-72 over/under record. Their run line record is 56-68, with a 23-35 record at home and 33-33 on the road. As favorites, they are 45-58 against the run line, and as underdogs, they are 11-10.

Reynaldo López Gets The Start For The Braves

Reynaldo López gets the start for the Braves today and comes in with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 2.06. So far this season, he has made 19 starts, and opponents are batting .224 off the right-hander. López has turned in 10 quality starts and is averaging 8.77 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going three innings and not giving up a run against the Mets. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has given up at least one homer in three straight outings.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 36 home runs are 3rd in the league and lead the Braves. Ozuna also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, during which he has gone 9/18 with six runs scored and one homer. For the season, he is batting .309 and has driven in 93 runs. Matt Olson is 2nd on the team with 21 homers but is batting just .230 this season.

As a team, the Braves are 4th in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.5 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .241, which is 15th in the league.

Phillies vs Braves Prediction

Our prediction for this Phillies vs. Braves matchup is to take the Braves on the money line, where they are currently listed at +109. We have the Braves winning this game by a final score of 7-6. If you are looking for a parlay, you could also take the over, as the line is sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Reynaldo Lopez has a better chance of picking up a win than Zack Wheeler. Lopez is also projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Wheeler, who we have finishing with five.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.