Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 6/30/2024

The Pittsburgh Pirates (39-43) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (46-35) on Sunday, June 30th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on None. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Pirates are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Braves. First pitch is set for 10:35 CT.

Pirates vs Braves

pittsburgh pirates nba

The Pirates wasted a good outing from Paul Skenes, as he went six innings and gave up just one run as the Pirates starter vs. the Braves. After scoring one run in the first inning, the Braves were held in check until they broke out for the game-winning run in the 10th, picking up a 2-1 win at home.

Max Fried started for the Braves, giving up just one run across six innings. He finished the game with four strikeouts but issued three walks. Daysbel Hernandez got the win out of the bullpen. Kyle Nicolas took the loss for the Pirates out of the bullpen.

At the plate, the Braves were led by Jarred Kelenic, who went 2/3 with a home run. Kelenic scored both of the Braves’ runs. For the Pirates, Ke’Bryan Hayes had a two-hit game.

Pittsburgh will be on the road today vs. the Braves, and they are looking to snap a two-game losing streak, as they are 39-43 overall. The Pirates are 3rd in the NL Central, where they trail the Brewers by 9.5 games. So far, they are 12-11 in divisional games.

The Pirates have dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 24-25 as the underdog overall. As the favorite, Pittsburgh is 15-18 this year. At home, the Pirates are 19-20 compared to 20-23 on the road. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is 11-11-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.

When betting the run line, the Pirates have been a solid play on the road, going 25-18. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 33-16. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.0, while it is -3.6 in losing games.

Despite the over/under line being set at 9.5 runs, the Pittsburgh Pirates’ games have averaged just 8.5 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 38-43, and their games have averaged an over/under line of 8 runs. The under has hit in three straight games for the Pirates.

Bailey Falter Gets The Start For The Pirates

Pittsburgh is sending left-hander Bailey Falter to the mound today vs. the Braves. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 3-6 with a 4.00 ERA. Falter’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.14. In his 15 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Falter took the loss vs. the Reds, giving up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least five earned runs in three straight outings. So far, he has struggled more on the road, coming in with a record of 1-4 and 5.46 ERA compared to 2-2 and 3.84 at home.

Pirates Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Pirates are 24th in the league in scoring at 4 runs per game. At home, they have been even worse, averaging just 3.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .228 and have the league’s 25th ranked slugging percentage. However, they do have two of the league’s top home run hitters in Bryan Reynolds and Oneil Cruz.

Reynolds is hitting .278 for the season and has gone 11/32 with three homers over his last eight games. He also leads the Pirates with 46 RBIs. Cruz and Andrew McCutchen are tied for 2nd on the team with 11 homers, but both are batting just .235.

With an overall record of 46-35, the Braves are seven games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves have won two straight games, and these two wins have them above .500 in their division record at 12-11. So far, they have been good at home, going 26-13, and they are just above .500 at 20-22 on the road.

Atlanta has been the favorite in most of their games this year, putting together a mark of 43-29 in those contests. As for their record as the underdog, the Braves are just 3-6. At home, the Braves have won five straight games, and their overall series record is 15-10-2.

Atlanta has been a solid run line team this season, going 39-42 overall. The Braves have been a better bet at home, where they are 18-21 on the run line. Their average run differential is +0.7 runs per game, and they have gone 34-38 on the run line as the favorite.

The Atlanta Braves are playing at home against the Pittsburgh Pirates today, and the over/under line for the game is set at 9.5 runs. The Braves’ games have averaged 8.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-49. When the over/under line is set at 9.5 runs, their record is 4-4. This season, only 6.2% of their games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs or higher, and their current under streak is at 4 games.

Spencer Schwellenbach Gets The Start For The Braves

Spencer Schwellenbach will be making his 2nd start of the season for the Braves, and it will be at home against the Pirates. In his first start, he picked up the win vs. the Tigers, going 6 innings and allowing just 1 earned run. He followed that up with a 5-inning outing vs. the Cardinals, where he took the loss.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Marcell Ozuna has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 21 home runs are the 5th most in the league and the most on the Braves roster. Ozuna is also 3rd in the MLB with 67 RBIs. He has also been a strong average hitter for the Braves, coming in with a batting average of .300. Over his last nine games, Austin Riley and Jarred Kelenic have both hit three home runs, with Kelenic batting .382 in that stretch and Riley hitting .303.

Overall, the Braves are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a bit better at home, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, and their team on-base percentage of .308 is 15th in the league. Heading into the game, Ozzie Albies is on a three-game hitting streak, while Ronald Acuna Jr. has a four-game streak going.

Pirates vs Braves Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Pirates vs. Braves matchup is to take the Pirates on the money line at +151. We have the Pirates winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a different bet, you could also take the over/under and go with the under, as the line is sitting at 9.5 runs.

Looking at today’s starting pitchers, we have Bailey Falter finishing with five strikeouts, which is better than Spencer Schwellenbach, who we have finishing with five. Offensively, the Pirates lineup is projected to finish with nine strikeouts, compared to the Braves at nine.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.