Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 5/11/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (17-21) travel to face off against the San Francisco Giants (17-23) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at Oracle Park in San Francisco and televised on FOX. The Reds are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Giants are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Reds. First pitch is set for 7:15 ET.

Reds vs Giants

cincinnati reds nba

Cincinnati picked up a 4-2 road win over the Giants in the most recent game of this series. The Reds had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their six runs. As for the Giants, they scored their only two runs in the 2nd. Heading into the game, the Reds were at +121 on the money line.

Andrew Abbott only went five innings for the Reds but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with two strikeouts and one home run allowed. Logan Webb put together a good outing for the Giants, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs on eight hits.

Stuart Fairchild and Spencer Steer each homered for the Reds, while Elly De La Cruz scored twice and drove in two runs while going 2/4. Thairo Estrada hit a home run for the Giants, going 1/4.

The Reds are 17-21 overall this season, and they are six games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games. Cincinnati is on the road today, and they are 8-8 on the road this season. The Reds have gone 9-13 at home.

Cincinnati will be looking to pick up a win today, as they have lost eight of their last ten games. So far, they have been the favorite in 19 games, and they are 10-9 in those games. As the underdog, the Reds are 7-12 this year. The Reds have an overall series record of 4-7-1 and have lost four straight series.

The Reds are a team that has been difficult to predict when it comes to covering the run line this season. They are 18-20 overall, but have been much better on the road, where they are 10-6. They have been favored in 19 games, going 9-10 against the run line, while they are also 9-10 as an underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +4.1, while it is -3.3 in losses.

The Cincinnati Reds have played in 29 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, and the over/under record for the season is 18-18. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs per game, and the combined run average for their games is 8.7 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, the Reds have gone under in four of six games.

Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds

Nick Lodolo is on the mound for the Reds today, as they take on the Giants. Lodolo has been solid in his first 3 starts, as he has a win and a loss to his name. He is coming off a tough-luck loss in his last outing, where he went 5 innings, giving up 4 runs. However, he did strike out 6 batters and only allowed 1 hit.

Reds Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Reds are batting just .212 for the season, which is the worst in the league. Their team on-base percentage of .291 is also one of the worst marks in the league. However, they do have three players with at least eight home runs, led by Elly De La Cruz, who is batting .271 with 20 RBIs. De La Cruz has also drawn a team-high 18 walks this season.

Jeimer Candelario has been better of late, going 6/22 in his last six games with a home run. Overall, he is batting just .209 for the season. Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, and Spencer Steer are all tied for 2nd on the team with four home runs, but Benson is batting just .197, and Steer is at .246.

San Francisco is 4th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by nine games. Overall, the Giants are 17-23 and have dropped two straight games. Their loss in the most recent game vs. the Reds dropped their division record to 8-9.

Looking at how the Giants have fared at home, they are 9-8 this season. On the road, they have gone just 8-15. So far, they are 12-11 as the favorite and 5-12 as the underdog. As for their overall series record, the Giants are 5-5-2 this season.

San Francisco has been a below-average run line team overall, but they have been much better on the road than at home. The Giants are 12-11 vs. the run line on the road compared to just 6-11 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 10-7 vs. the run line in those games. Their average run differential in wins is +3.4, while it is -4.4 in losses.

The San Francisco Giants have an over/under record of 18-20 this season. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cincinnati Reds is set at 7.5 runs, which is lower than their average combined run average of 8.5 runs per game. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the Giants have a record of 7-6, and 57.5% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Mason Black Gets The Start For The Giants

Mason Black will be making his second start of the season for the Giants, and he will be taking on the Reds. In his first start, Black took a loss against the Phillies, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up 5 runs. He did strike out 8 batters, but also gave up 3 home runs.

Giants Offense Breakdown

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Michael Conforto and Thairo Estrada have been two of the Giants’ top hitters this season, with Conforto batting .277 and Estrada at .248. Conforto’s seven homers this season is 6th best in the league, and he has gone 10/25 in his last seven games. Estrada has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/32 with two homers in his last eight games. LaMonte Wade Jr. and Jung Hoo Lee are also on good streaks, with both players having hit safely in six straight games.

As a team, the Giants are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .240, which is 13th in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .306 is also below the league average.

Reds vs Giants Prediction

The best way to play this game is to take the Giants on the money line, with the payout sitting at -105. We actually have the Giants winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Mason Black is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among starters. As for Nick Lodolo, he is projected to finish with seven, which is second. However, we have Lodolo finishing with more K’s, as his projection is higher.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.