Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Reds vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 5/12/2024

The Cincinnati Reds (17-22) travel to face off against the San Francisco Giants (18-23) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at Oracle Park in San Francisco and televised on BSOH. The Giants are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 4:05 ET.

Reds vs Giants

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San Francisco cruised to a 5-1 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Reds, they scored their lone run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Giants were at +126 on the money line.

Mason Black only went 4 1/3 innings for the Giants but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with two strikeouts and two walks. Taylor Rogers came out of the bullpen to get the win. As for the Reds, Nick Lodolo struggled on the mound, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Giants were led by Matt Chapman, who went 2/4 with a home run and four RBI. Elly De La Cruz also had a two-hit game and scored a run for San Francisco’s offense.

Cincinnati is on the road today vs. the Giants, and they are looking to get back to .500 with a record of 17-22. The Reds are 4th in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games.

The Reds have dropped four straight series and are just 4-7-1 in series play this year. This season, they are 10-10 as the favorite but just 7-12 as the underdog. Cincinnati is 1-9 over their last ten games, and they are 8-9 on the road this year.

The Reds have been a solid run-line bet on the road this season, going 10-7. Their overall run-line record is 18-21, and they have been a better bet on the road than at home. Their average run differential is -0.1 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of -0.5 runs per game at home and +0.5 runs per game on the road.

The Cincinnati Reds have played 29 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which is 74.4% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 18-19, and their average over/under line is 9 runs. However, in games with over/under lines set at 7.5 runs, the under has hit in five of seven games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.6 runs per game, and they are currently on a two-game under streak.

Frankie Montas Gets The Start For The Reds

Frankie Montas gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Giants on the road. So far, he has made six starts and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.55. Montas’ WHIP for the season is 1.30, and he has turned in two quality starts. Looking back at his most recent outing, Montas took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Montas has struggled on the road, with a record of 1-1 and an ERA of 12.04.

Reds Offense Breakdown

Elly De La Cruz comes into the game as the Reds’ top hitter, with a batting average of .272, and he has also been one of the team’s top power threats, as his nine homers is the best mark on the team and 4th in the league. De La Cruz is also on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 5/18 in his last five games. Spencer Steer and the team’s top RBI man, Spencer Steer, is also on a three-game hitting streak and is 6th in the league with 27 RBIs.

Overall, the Reds are batting just .213, which is the worst mark in the league. They are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS. As a team, they are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league.

San Francisco is hosting the Reds today with an overall record of 18-23, putting them 4th in the NL West. The Giants are nine games behind the Dodgers for the NL West lead. So far, they are 8-9 in divisional matchups. The Giants are looking to snap out of their losing streak, as they have dropped two straight and are 4-6 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Giants are 10-8 this year compared to 8-15 on the road. This season, the Giants have been the favorite in 23 of their games, going 12-11 in those matchups. As the underdog, the Giants are 6-12 this year, and their overall series record is 5-5-2.

San Francisco has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are 19-22 against the run line. They are just 7-11 against the run line at home, but have been slightly better on the road, going 12-11. They have been a better bet as the underdog this season, going 11-7 against the run line, compared to just 8-15 as the favorite.

The Giants have gone under the total in their last two games, and the under is now 7-7 in their games with a 7.5 over/under line this season. The Giants have played 23 games with higher over/under lines than 7.5, and their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game this season.

Kyle Harrison Gets The Start For The Giants

Giants starter Kyle Harrison has made eight starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 3.20. So far, he has turned in five quality starts and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Rockies, he went seven innings and gave up just two hits. Harrison has made five appearances on the road and has a record of 3-1 with a 3.30 ERA. At home, he is 0-0 with a 3.75 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .243 vs. Harrison this season.

Giants Offense Breakdown

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Michael Conforto and Thairo Estrada have been swinging the bat well for the Giants of late, with Conforto hitting .407 over his last eight games and Estrada batting .306 with two homers in this stretch. Conforto comes into the game with a five-game hitting streak. For the season, Conforto is batting .280 with a team-high seven homers, and Estrada is right behind him with six home runs.

As a team, the Giants are averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. They have been slightly better on the road (4.0 RPG) than at home (3.4 RPG). Overall, the Giants are batting .239, which is 11th in the league.

Reds vs Giants Prediction

We are picking the Reds to pick up a win on the road against the Giants, and with the money line payout sitting at +109, that is the way we recommend playing this one.

Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Reds, and looking at some of the starting pitcher projections, Frankie Montas is projected to finish with around six strikeouts, and Kyle Harrison is projected to finish with five.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.