Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves Prediction 4/20/2024

The Texas Rangers (11-10) travel to face off against the Atlanta Braves (13-5) on Saturday, April 20th. This game will be played at Truist Park in Atlanta and televised on BSSW. The Braves are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rangers. First pitch is set for 7:20 ET.

Rangers vs Braves

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Atlanta picked up an easy 8-3 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Braves had a huge 2nd inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their only three runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Braves were favored at -207 on the money line.

Chris Sale got the win for the Braves, going seven innings and giving up three earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a rare home run. Jacob Latz took the loss for the Rangers, going just four innings and giving up three earned runs.

Travis d’Arnaud hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with six RBIs and three runs scored. Michael Harris II also had a good game at the plate, going 2/4 with an RBI.

Texas currently leads the AL West on a record of 11-10. Their lead is just one game, as the Mariners are right behind them. So far, the Rangers have gone just 4-6 against other AL West teams. Overall, Texas has a series record of 3-2-1.

When playing on the road, the Rangers are above .500 at 6-5. And at home, they are 5-5. Texas got to this point by going 4-3 on their recent road trip. Coming into today’s game, the Rangers have been the underdog in 11 of their games, and they have gone 7-4 in those situations.

When the Rangers win, they win big, with an average run margin of 4.0 runs per game. However, when they lose, they lose by an average of 3.3 runs per game. As a result, their overall run line record is just 10-11, with a scoring margin of +0.5 runs per game. They have been a better bet on the run line as an underdog, going 7-4, compared to 3-7 as the favorite.

So far this season, the Texas Rangers have played in 21 games with an over/under line. Their games have averaged 9.6 runs per game, and the over/under record for the season is 11-10. The average over/under line for their games is 9 runs, and their games have gone over the line in 3 straight games. When the line has been set at 9.5 runs, their over/under record is 2-1. Overall, 4 of their games have had higher lines than today’s 9.5-run line, which is set at 19.0% of their games.

Nathan Eovaldi Gets The Start For The Rangers

Nathan Eovaldi will be making his 4th start of the season, and so far, he has a 1-1 record. He picked up a win in his first start of the year, going 7 innings and striking out 8 against the Rays. In his last start, he took the loss vs. the Astros, giving up 5 runs in 6 innings of work.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

When looking at the Rangers’ offensive projections, Marcus Semien has the 19th highest total hits projection in the league today and is 8th in terms of total home runs. Corey Seager is 21st in total hits and 5th in terms of total home runs. Adolis García has the 2nd highest home run projection in the league today.

With an overall record of 13-5, the Braves lead the NL East heading into today’s game vs. the Rangers. The Braves are currently on a five-game winning streak, closing out their series with the Astros with a win and picking up a win in the series opener with the Rangers. So far, the Braves have gone 8-3 on the road and 5-2 at home.

Looking at their series record, the Braves are 4-1-1 and have won each of their last two series. When favored, the Braves are 13-5 this season, and they have yet to be the underdog in a game.

When the Braves are favored, they are a .500 team against the run line. They are 9-9 overall and 2-5 at home. They are 7-4 on the road and have covered the run line in their last game as the favorite.

When the Braves and Rangers met today, the over/under line was set at 9.5 runs. The teams’ combined run average is 11.0, and the over/under record for Braves games this season is 11-6. The over/under line for their games has averaged 9 runs, and the over/under record when the line is set at 9.5 runs is 3-3. The Braves’ games have had over/under lines set at 9.5 runs in just 11.1% of their games this season.

Charlie Morton Gets The Start For The Braves

Charlie Morton and the Braves are back at home today, taking on the Rangers. Morton has been solid through his first two starts, picking up a win in his first outing and then taking a no-decision in his last start. He did not allow a run in his first start but gave up 4 runs in his last time out.

Braves Offense Breakdown

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Our model has Marcell Ozuna as our top pick to hit a home run in today’s game, as his home run projection is the best in the league. He also has the 4th best total hits projection on the team and 22nd in the league. If you’re looking for a Braves player to hit a home run, Matt Olson has the 6th best home run projection in the league today. Ronald Acuña Jr. has the 6th best total hits projection in the league and Michael Harris II has the 9th best.

 

Rangers vs Braves Prediction

 

With the Braves at -160 to pick up a win, this is the best way to play this game. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Braves, giving us a lot of value on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Charlie Morton is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, which is the best among all starters today. As for Nathan Eovaldi, he is projected to finish with five K’s, and we have him finishing with a line of 5 IP, five hits, and three earned runs.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.