Detroit Tigers vs San Francisco Giants MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tigers vs San Francisco Giants Prediction 8/11/2024

The Detroit Tigers (55-63) travel to face off against the San Francisco Giants (61-58) on Sunday, August 11th. This game will be played at Oracle Park in San Francisco and televised on NBCS. The Giants are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Giants. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.

Tigers vs. Giants Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Giants (-185)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • The Giants have won 8 of their last 10 games, indicating strong recent form.
  • The Giants have a home record of 35-23, showing they perform well at home.
  • The Giants have won their last 4 games, demonstrating a positive winning streak.
  • In their last 15 games, the Giants have scored an average of 4.8 runs per game, showing consistent offensive production.
  • The Tigers have lost 7 of their last 10 games, indicating a recent struggle in performance.

Tigers vs Giants

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The Giants offense only had two more hits than the Tigers in the most recent game of this series. San Francisco went into the matchup as -248 favorites and squeaked out a 3-1 win. Heading into the game, the Giants had scored the most runs in the league, while the Tigers had the second-fewest.

Logan Webb pitched well for the Giants in the game, going seven innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Webb got the win in the game, while Ryan Walker got the save.

Detroit’s starter, Alex Faedo, only went one inning and gave up three runs on three hits. He took the loss in the game. Parker Meadows hit the Tigers’ only home run and went 2/4 at the plate.

Currently, the Tigers are 13.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, with an overall record of 55-63. They have lost three straight games and are down 0-2 in their series against the Giants. Detroit’s overall series record this season is 15-17-5, and they are 3-7 in their last 10 games.

As underdogs, the Tigers have a 33-42 straight-up record this season, and they are 48-27 against the run line. On the road, they have a 37-24 run line record, with an average run differential of +0.2 runs per game. The O/U record for Tigers games this season is 62-53, and their average total line is 8 runs. The current O/U streak for Tigers games is three straight unders.

Keider Montero Gets The Start For The Tigers

Right-hander Keider Montero gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Giants on the road. He has made eight starts this year and has a record of 2-5 with a 5.62 ERA. Montero’s WHIP for the season is 1.31, and opponents are batting .263 off him this year. In his last outing, Montero picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Montero has given up at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are 23rd in the league in scoring at 4.1 runs per game. For the most part, their offense has been consistent, as they are also 23rd in runs per game on the road and 20th in runs per game at home. As a team, they are batting just .229, which is 21st in the league, and their team on-base percentage of .294 is also 21st in the MLB.

Riley Greene and Matt Vierling have been the Tigers’ top power hitters this season, with Greene leading the team with 17 homers and Vierling right behind him with 13. Greene is also batting .264 this season, and Vierling comes into the game with a batting average of .253. Vierling has gone deep in two of his last four games, and Parker Meadows is also swinging a hot bat right now, going 8/17 in his last four games.

San Francisco is on a roll, having won four straight games and eight of their last ten. They are currently eight games behind the Dodgers in the NL West with a 61-58 overall record. As the favorite, they have a 38-25 record, while as the underdog, they are 23-33.

On the run line, the Giants have been profitable on the road with a 33-28 record, but have struggled at home, going 25-33. Their over/under record for the season is 62-54, and the average run total for their games is 8.9 runs. Today’s O/U line of 7.5 runs is lower than usual, as 54.6% of their games have had totals above that line.

Hayden Birdsong Gets The Start For The Giants

Right-hander Hayden Birdsong gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Tigers at home. Birdsong has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with a 4.73 ERA. In his 32 1/3 innings of work, he has a WHIP of 1.39 and has issued 5.01 walks per nine innings compared to 10.86 strikeouts. Birdsong’s most recent outing was rough, as he took the loss after giving up seven earned runs in just two innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in each of his last three outings.

Giants Offense Breakdown

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San Francisco’s offense has been pretty consistent this season, as they are averaging 4.4 runs per game both at home and on the road. Overall, they are 15th in the league in scoring. The Giants have been a good team at avoiding strikeouts this season, and they also have the 7th most walks in the league. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the MLB right now.

Matt Chapman and Heliot Ramos have been the Giants’ top power threats this season, with Chapman leading the team with 19 homers and Ramos right behind him at 17. Chapman has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/38 in his last 10 games with four homers. Tyler Fitzgerald has also been swinging a hot bat, going 13/40 in his last 10 games.

Tigers vs Giants Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Tigers vs. Giants matchup is to take the Giants to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout for the Giants sitting at -185, we actually like the over at 7.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Giants, giving us plenty of wiggle room on the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Hayden Birdsong finishing with more strikeouts than Keider Montero. However, we actually have Birdsong finishing with more earned runs allowed than Montero. Offensively, we have the Giants finishing with nine hits compared to the Tigers with nine.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.