FC Dallas vs Toronto MLS Betting Prediction

MLS FC Dallas vs Toronto Prediction 5/4/2024

FC Dallas (2-5-2) travel to face off against Toronto (5-4-1) on Saturday, May 4th. This match will be played at BMO Field in Toronto, ON. Both club’s come into this one having won their previous match. The match starts at 7:30 PM ET.

FC Dallas vs Toronto

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FC Dallas Is Coming Off A Win

In their last match, FC Dallas hosted the Houston Dynamo. The money line payout for FC Dallas was +170, and they would have covered the spread on the -1.5 line with their 2-0 win. The two combined goals fell short of the over/under goal line of 2.5 goals.

Overall, FC Dallas took 25 shots and five shots on goal. On the offensive end, Petar Musa and Sebastien Ibeagha were the only two players to score, with Musa leading the club with six total shots.

Goalie Maarten Paes didn’t face a shot on goal in the match, picking up both a win and a clean sheet. The Dallas defense blocked a total of 10 shots, with Sam Junqua and Musa each finishing with an interception.

Through nine matches, FC Dallas has a record of 2-5-2, which has them in 13th place in the Western Conference. They have struggled on the road, going 0-3-1, but have been better at home, going 2-2-1. Over their last seven matches, they have just one win, going 1-4-2. Following this match, they will return home to take on Austin FC on Sunday, May 12th. In the standings, they are just one point behind Nashville SC and one point ahead of the New England Revolution.

Toronto Is Coming Off A Win

In their last match, Toronto took on Orlando City SC and came away with a 2-1 win on the road. Toronto was a big underdog in this match, which had a line of +600 and three total goals.

Toronto’s attack finished with four shots on goal and scored two times. They needed just one shot apiece from Tyrese Spicer and Prince-Osei Owusu to score their goals. Federico Bernardeschi finished with the only assist for the club.

As for the Toronto defense, they allowed just one goal on Orlando City SC’s three shots on goal. Sean Johnson finished with two saves and will now look to build off his overall win.

Through 10 matches, Toronto has a record of 5-4-1, putting them in 4th place in the Eastern Conference. They have won two straight matches, and over their last six matches, they have gone 3-3. At home, Toronto has been strong, going 3-1-0. Overall, they have been favored in four matches, going 3-1 in those contests. After this match, they will be at home again, taking on New York City FC on May 11th.

FC Dallas Offense Breakdown

FC Dallas has scored an average of 1.0 goals per match this season, which is 25th in the MLS. They are 17th in shots on goal per match and 16th in corners. In 55.6% of their matches, they have had more corners than their opponents. Their passing percentage is 83.5%, which is 8th in the league. Petar Musa is their leading scorer this season, as he has found the back of the net three times. This is also the 46th best mark in the MLS. Musa has also taken the most shots on goal for FC Dallas this season, as he has nine, which is 39th in the league.

Toronto Offense Breakdown


Prince-Osei Owusu has been the most productive offensive player for Toronto this season, as he has scored five goals, which is the 11th most in MLS. He has also taken the most shots on goal for Toronto and is 59th in the league in that category. Jahkeele Marshall-Rutty has been the top playmaker for Toronto, as he has two assists, which is 56th in MLS. This season, Toronto is 24th in MLS in goals per match and 25th in shots on goal per match. They have taken more shots on goal than their season average in three straight matches.

FC Dallas Defense Breakdown

FC Dallas’ defense has been solid this season, allowing just 1.3 goals per match, which is 14th in the MLS. They will be facing a Toronto offense that is 24th in goals scored. Maarten Paes has been the team’s top goalkeeper, as he has three clean sheets, which is 4th in the league. Over their last five matches, they have given up just 0.6 goals per match. However, they have had some favorable matchups, including facing the 28th ranked Houston Dynamo offense, who they shutout.

Toronto Defense Breakdown

Heading into their match against FC Dallas, Toronto’s defense is 13th in MLS in goals allowed per match at 1.3. They are coming off a match against Orlando City SC, who is 21st in scoring, and they only allowed one goal. However, they have given up three goals twice this season, and they are 7th in blocked shots and 12th in interceptions. Sean Johnson is 6th in MLS with three clean sheets, and he is 21st in saves.

FC Dallas vs Toronto Prediction

Given that both FC Dallas and Toronto are below average in terms of shooting percentage, we have this one ending in a 1-1 draw at +245. Looking at our projections, both teams are expected to put two shots on goal. Our top projected goal scorer for the match is Jesús Ferreira for FC Dallas. As for Toronto, Ayo Akinola has the best odds to score.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.