Miami Heat vs Olrando Magic Prediction 1/21/2024

NBA: Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction 1/21/2024

The Miami Heat (24-18) travel to face off against the Orlando Magic (22-20) on Sunday, January 21st. This game will be played at Kia Center in Orlando and televised on BSF. Both the Heat and Magic will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 6:00 ET.

Heat vs Magic

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the Heat’s most recent game against the Hawks, Jimmy Butler led the Heat with 25 points while going 8/10 from the field. Tyler Herro put up 25 points which was 2nd on the team, but it wasn’t enough as Miami ended up losing the game with a final score of 109-108.

Coming into today’s matchup against the Magic, the Heat are looking to stay above .500 as they are currently 24-18 overall. On the road, the Heat are 12-10 compared to their 12-8 record at home.

Miami has an ATS record of 19-21 for this season, which includes their current two game losing streak against the spread. When playing on the road, the Heat hold an ATS record of 11-9 in contrast to a 8-12 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Magic Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent game, the Magic fell to the 76ers by a score of 124-109. The Magic managed to secure te win, even though they were behind at halftime 68-60.

In the Magic’s last ten games, they are 3-7 and come into today’s game vs. the Heat with a 22-20 overall record. When playing on the road, the Magic are 9-14 compared to a 13-6 mark at home.

Presently, Orlando boasts an ATS record of 27-15, which is above .500 against the spread. On the road, the Magic have an ATS record of 14-9 compared to a 13-6 record vs. the spread at home.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 42 games games, Miami is averaging 111.4 points per game (26th).

Coming into the game, the Heat are 26th in the NBA in scoring at 111.4 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 108.1 points per game (29th).

So far this season, Miami has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 38.1% of their games. They have scored less than their average in each of their last five games.

When it comes to pace, the Heat are 29th in the league at 96.7 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 21st at 46%.

Magic Offense Breakdown

orlando magic

In 42 games games, Orlando has an average of 111.9 points per game (25th).

At home, the Magic have been averaging 115.3 points per game, which is 18th in the NBA. Overall, they are 25th in scoring at 111.9 points per game. In terms of pace, Orlando is 15th in the league.

So far this season, the Magic have outscored the NBA scoring average in 38.1% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 19th in the league at 46%. When it comes to two-point shooting, Orlando is 18th in the NBA at 53%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Magic are last in the NBA in both three-pointers made per game (10.8) and three-point shooting percentage (34%). From the free-throw line, Orlando is 5th in made free throws per game (19.9).

Heat Team Defense

The Heat’s defense is presently ranked 5th in the league, allowing an average of 110.8 points per contest. Miami’s defense is currently forcing 12.6 turnovers per game, which is 12th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 30th in blocked shots, with an average of 3.3 rejections per game.

Magic Team Defense

Not only do the Magic’s overall defensive numbers look good, as they are 8th in the league in points allowed. Orlando has also been playing well on defense of late, ranking 3rd in the league over their last three games at 108 PPG allowed. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Magic defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.7% while allowing 35.4% from downtown.

Key Players For The Heat And Magic

For today’s matchup, we project Jimmy Butler to lead the scoring for the Heat, putting up 22 points and shooting at a rate of 7/15. For the season, he has been averaging 21.3 points per game, in addition to 5 rebounds.

On the other side, Paolo Banchero is our projected leading scorer for the Magic. We have him ending the game with a team-high 20 and grabbing 7 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 45%, and his scoring average is 22.7 points per game.

Heat vs Magic Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 100 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Magic offense has averaged 112 points per game while allowing an average of 113. Orlando posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 7-3 ATS.
  • The last ten games that Orlando was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong record of 3-2. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-2-1.

Heat vs Magic Prediction

Not only do we have the Heat winning this one by a score of 111-107, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Heat at -1.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 214.5, and our model predicts the Heat and Magic to score a combined 218 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.