Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic

NBA Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Prediction 12/20/2023

The Miami Heat (15-12) travel to face off against the Orlando Magic (16-9) on Wednesday, December 20th. This game will be played at Amway Center. Both the Heat and Magic will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Heat vs Magic

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Tyler Herro led Miami with 25 points against the Timberwolves, the highest on the team. He finished with a field goal percentage of 47.1% in the game. Bam Adebayo finished 2nd on the team with 22 points, but Miami ended the game with a 112-108 loss.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Magic, the Heat have a 15-12 record and are above .500. In Eastern Conference play, the Heat have gone 12-10 while going 3-2 in non-conference games.

So far, Miami is below .500 in their ATS record, currently standing at 11-15. On the road, the Heat have an ATS record of 8-5, as opposed to a 3-10 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Magic Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their most recent matchup, the Magic conveyed a message to the Celtics with a score of 114-97. Alonside their straight-up loss, the Magic failed to cover the spread as +8.5 point underdogs. When it comes to the over/under, the total of 211 points ended up falling short of the over/under line set at 227.5.

So far, the Magic are 16-9 overall and are looking to snap their two game losing streak vs. the Heat. In Eastern Conference games, the Magic are 11-6 and are 5-3 in non-conference play.

In terms of the spread, Orlando currently holds an ATS record of 17-8, which is above .500. In their two most recent home games, Orlando has covered the spread and they are 11-2 ATS at home compared to 6-6 on the road.

Heat Offense Breakdown

Through 27 games the Heat are averaging 112.8 points per contest, placing them 20th in the NBA. When looking at the team’s pace of play, the Heat are currently below the league average in possessions per game, averaging just 96.7 per contest. Their slower style of play has created fewer offensive opportunities, leading to them being ranked 27th in fields goals made per contest.

Magic Offense Breakdown

This season, the Orlando offense is ranked 19th in the NBA in scoring at 113.2 points per game. So far, the Magic are averaging 99.4 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. This deliberate style of basketball has played a role in the unit ranking just 22nd in made shots per game.

Heat Team Defense

In the current season, the Heat defense has excelled, sitting 10 in the NBA by allowing 112.0 points per game.

On two point field goal attempts, the Heat’s defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.8% and allowing 38.3% from beyond the arc.

Magic Team Defense

So far, the Magic’s defense is ranked 4 in the league at 109.9 points per contest.

Inside the arc, the Magic defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 53.7% and 36.2% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Heat And Magic

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Bam Adebayo is set to be the main scorer for the Heat, recording 15 points and shooting 6/10 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 22.2 points per game, in addition to 9.7 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Paolo Banchero as the leading scorer for the Magic. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 16 while also collecting 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 48% and is averaging 21 points per contest.

Heat vs Magic Trends

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 6-3-1 while averaging 111 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • Across their three previous home games, Orlando has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 106 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
  • The Magic have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

 

Heat vs Magic Prediction

 

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +4.5, the Heat is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 219.5 and given that our model is projecting 223 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.