Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Boston Bruins vs Toronto Maple Leafs Prediction 3/4/2024

The Boston Bruins (35-13-14) travel to face off against the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-17-8) on Monday, March 4th. This game will be played at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto and televised on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bruins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Islanders. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs

boston bruins nhl

The Boston Bruins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With 84 points, the Bruins sit in 3rd place in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They have gone 35-13-14 overall and 19-14 against other Eastern Conference teams. Over their last ten games, Boston has gone just 3-7.

On the road this season, the Bruins have gone 16-6-9, and they have been the underdog in eight of their 62 games, going 5-0-3 in those games. Over their last five games, they have gone just 1-4, and they are 1-2 in their last three games.

As the underdog, the Bruins have a puck line record of 8-0 this season, and they have 24 wins by multiple goals. Overall, Boston’s puck line record is 30-32, and they have gone just 2-8 vs. the puck line in their last ten games. On the road, the Bruins have a puck line record of 15-16.

So far, the Bruins have lost three games in a row vs. the puck line, and their average scoring margin for the year is +.5 goals per game. In their last ten road games, the Bruins’ puck line record is 3-7, and they have 11 wins by just one goal.

In their most recent game, the Bruins fell to the Islanders on the road by a score of 5-1. Offensively, the Bruins did not score in the first or third periods vs. the Islanders but found the net one time in the second period. For the game, Boston’s only goal came at even strength. Overall, they had 23 shots on goal vs. New York.

In this game, Boston was favored by -1.5, but they suffered a loss against the puck line. With a combined total of 6 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 5.5 goals set for the game.

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 35-17-8, the Maple Leafs are in 4th place in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 9-1 and they have won their last two games as the favorite. At home, the Maple Leafs are 17-11-2 and have won two straight games.

On the season, Toronto has been favored in 50 of their 60 games and have gone 30-13-7 in those games. Against other teams from the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 12-17 this season.

When favored, Toronto has gone 15-35 against the puck line this season, including a mark of 7-3 in their last ten games as the underdog. Overall, the Maple Leafs have gone 22-38 against the puck line this year, and they have 19 wins by multiple goals.

So far this season, Toronto’s average scoring margin is +.6 goals per game, and they have gone 10-20 against the puck line at home. In their last ten games at home, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of just 3-7.

In their most recent game, the Maple Leafs faced the Rangers and came out victorious with a score of 4-3. On offense, the Maple Leafs were held scoreless in the first period, but found the net two times in the second period and ended with one goal in the third. In the game, Toronto managed to score all four goals at even strength. They concluded with 34 shots on goal and committed 8 turnovers.

Although Toronto secured a straight-up win, they did not cover the puck line, as they were favored by -1.5. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 7 goals.

Boston Offense Breakdown

When looking at their offense, the Bruins have an average of 3.3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 8th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 17th in the league. The Bruins went 14-1 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 20-11.

This season, the Bruins’ have an over/under record of 31-31-0. Throughout the season, they have played 34 games that did not exceed the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.2 goals per game.

Maple Leafs Offense Breakdown

toronto maple leafs

On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.7 goals per game which is 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 6th in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Maple Leafs offense is 6th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 13th in the NHL.

This season, the over/under record for the Maple Leafs’ is 33-25-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 34 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.9 goals per game.

Boston Team Defense

The Bruins defense is currently 6th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.4 shots per game against Boston. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 5th with 4 shutouts.

Toronto Team Defense

Toronto defense takes on the Bruins ranked 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 6th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Boston has an puck line record of 1-2 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five home games, Toronto has an puck line record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 4-1 while averaging 4 goals per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Maple Leafs have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their puck line record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Bruins have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 0-3.

Bruins vs Maple Leafs Prediction

For a moneyline pick, I’m taking the Maple Leafs to pick up on a win over the Bruins at home. With the moneyline sitting at -136, I’ll be locking in a bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

If you’re looking for my recommendation on the puck line, I suggest taking the Bruins to cover. Even if the Maple Leafs manage to win outright, this game is expected to remain competitive, and the Bruins should cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.