Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 3/27/2024

The Boston Bruins (42-16-15) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (39-25-7) on Wednesday, March 27th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on TNT. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:30 ET.

Bruins vs Lightning

boston bruins nhl

The Boston Bruins Are Coming Off A Win

Through 73 games this season, the Boston Bruins have gone 42-16-15 and sit in second place in the Eastern Conference. On the road, the Bruins have gone 19-7-9, and they have been the underdog in 11 of their 73 games.

Over their last ten games, Boston has gone 6-4, and they have gone 3-2 over their last five games. In the Atlantic Division, the Bruins are in first place, and they have gone 17-6 against divisional opponents.

On the season, the Bruins have gone 36-37 against the puck line, including a road puck line record of 17-18. In their last ten games, Boston has gone just 5-5 against the puck line.

This year, the Bruins have 28 wins by multiple goals and have lost 11 games by more than one goal. Overall, Boston’s average scoring differential is +.6 goals per game.

In their last game, the Bruins went up against the Panthers and emerged as winners with a score of 4-3. Offensively, the Bruins’ offense scored in each period against the Panthers. Boston’s one power-play goals contributed to their total of 4 goals. Their offensive performance came with 21 shots on goal and 12 giveaways.

Entering the game as the underdog, Boston came away with a victory against the puck line. With a combined total of 7 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 6 goals set for the game.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 21-9-4, and they have won their last two games in Tampa Bay. For the year, Tampa Bay has a record of 39-25-7, and they enter the day in 6th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, the Lightning are in 4th place.

Heading into today’s game, Tampa Bay has been favored in 41 of their 71 games this season, and they have gone 26-13-2 as the favorite. Over their last three games, the Lightning have gone 2-1, and they are 7-3 in their last ten games.

At home, the Lightning have a puck line record of 19-15, and their average scoring margin in those games is +.8 goals per game. So far, Tampa Bay has been favored in 41 games and has a puck line record of 18-23 in those games. In their last ten home games, the Lightning have a puck line record of 4-6.

Overall, the Lightning have 28 wins by multiple goals and an average scoring margin of +.2 goals per game. In their last ten games, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is 6-4, and their puck line record for the season is 37-34.

In their last game, the Lightning went up against the Ducks and emerged as winners with a score of 3-2. In terms of offense, the Lightning faced a dry spell in the first and third periods against the Ducks, but they managed to score two times in the second period. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 27 shots on goal and had 12 turnovers.

Despite the straight-up win, Tampa Bay did not cover the puck line, as they were favored by -1.5. The over/under line for the game was 6.5, and it concluded with a combined total of 5 goals.

Boston Offense Breakdown

When looking at their offense, the Bruins have an average of 3.3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 9th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 18th in the league. In terms of the Bruins’ offense during power plays, they are 8th in power play goals and 18th in shorthanded goals.

The Bruins’ over/under record this season is 36-36-1. For the season, they have had 36 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6. Overall, their games are averaging 6.1 goals per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

tampa bay lightning

The Lightning come into the game scoring an average of 3.5 goals per game, putting them 6th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 25th in the league. This year, the Lightning have recorded a 21-12 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 17-11 record.

This season, the over/under record for the Lightning’s is 35-32-4. Over the course of the season, they have had 37 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Boston Team Defense

The Bruins defense is currently 9th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.8 shots per game against Boston. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 14th with 4 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Defensively, the Lightning are currently 26th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 11th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Bruins vs Lightning Trends

  • Although Boston has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the puck line going 2-3. The team averaged 2 goals per game in these games.
  • Although Tampa Bay has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the puck line going 2-3. The team averaged 4 goals per game in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Lightning have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their puck line record was 3-0 in these scenarios.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Bruins have an overall record of 3-2 while going 1-4 against the spread.

Bruins vs Lightning Prediction

If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Lightning to take down the Bruins at home. With the moneyline currently at -116, I’m placing my bet on the Lightning straight-up.

For my recommended choice in the puck line, I’m leaning towards the Bruins to cover. Even if the Lightning secure a straight-up win, this game is expected to be tightly contested, and the Bruins should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.