Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Lightning vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 3/19/2024

The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-25-6) travel to face off against the Vegas Golden Knights (36-24-7) on Tuesday, March 19th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 10:00 ET.

Lightning vs Golden Knights

tampa bay lightning nhl

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

Heading into tonight’s game, the Lightning sit 6th in the Eastern Conference with 78 points and a record of 36-25-6. In their last ten games, Tampa Bay has gone 6-4 and have won three straight games.

On the road this season, the Lightning have gone 15-16-2 and have been the underdog in 28 of their 67 games this year. As the underdog, Tampa Bay has a record of 12-12-4 and have won three straight games in that role.

On the road this season, the Lightning have a puck line record of 15-18, and their average scoring margin is -.5 goals per game. So far, Tampa Bay has 26 wins by multiple goals and 23 losses by more than one goal. In their last 10 games, the Lightning’s puck line record is 5-5.

As the underdog, Tampa Bay’s puck line record is 17-11, and they have gone 3-0 vs. the puck line in their last three games. Overall, their puck line record is 34-33. In their 39 games as the favorite, the Lightning have an average scoring margin of +.7 goals per game.

The Lightning most recently took on the Panthers and secured a win with a score of 5-3. The Lightning’s offense scored in each period against the Panthers. Of Tampa Bay’s five goals, one came while in power play. They ended the game with 16 shots on goal and had 14 giveaways.

Going into the game, Tampa Bay was the underdog, giving them a win vs. the puck line. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals, with a combined total of 8 goals.

The Vegas Golden Knights Are Coming Off A Win

At 79 points, the Golden Knights are 4th in the Pacific Division and 8th in the Western Conference. In the Western Conference, they have gone 22-15 and 12-9 in the Pacific Division. Over their last ten games, the Golden Knights have gone 4-6, and they are 36-24-7 overall. In their last five games, the Golden Knights have gone 3-2.

So far this season, the Golden Knights have been favored in 43 of their 67 games and have gone 23-16-4 as the favorite. At home, Vegas has gone 21-10-2 for the year and has won their last two home games. When playing against other Western Conference teams, the Golden Knights have gone 12-9.

At home, the Golden Knights have a puck line record of 17-16 this season, and their overall puck line record is 33-34. So far this year, Vegas has 22 wins by multiple goals and 14 wins by just one goal.

Currently, the Golden Knights’ average scoring margin is at +.2 goals per game, and their average scoring differential at home is at +.7 goals per game. In their last ten home games, Vegas has a puck line record of 5-5.

The Golden Knights recently hosted the Devils and emerged victorious with a 3-1 win. In the first and second periods, the Golden Knights couldn’t find the net on offense, but they managed to score three goals in the third period. All three goals came at even strength. They finished with 37 shots on goal and had 7 turnovers.

Coming into the game favored by -1.5, Vegas also managed to pick up a victory against the puck line. Combining for 4 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.5.

Tampa Bay Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Lightning are scoring an 3.5 goals per game this season, ranking 5th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 23rd in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Lightning offense is 2nd in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 24th in the NHL.

For the season, the over/under record of the Lightning’s stands at 33-30-4. They have had 35 games during the season that exceeded the 6.5 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.9 goals per game.

Golden Knights Offense Breakdown

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When looking at their offense, the Golden Knights have an average of 3.2 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 15th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 15th in the league. Vegas’ offense is currently ranked 18th in power play goals. When it comes to shorthanded goals, they are 9th in the league.

The Golden Knights’ over/under record this season is 33-34-0. For the season, they have had 35 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging 6.2 goals per game.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Lightning head into the game ranked 25th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.5 shots per game against Tampa Bay. So far, they are 10th in shutouts, achieving 4 shutouts.

Vegas Team Defense

Defensively, the Golden Knights are currently 11th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.7 shots per game against Vegas. They also are 20th in shutouts, coming in with 3 shutouts.

Lightning vs Golden Knights Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Tampa Bay has an puck line mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Vegas has an puck line record of 2-3 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • The last ten games that Vegas was the underdog, they have an puck line mark of 8-2 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • The last five games that Tampa Bay was favored, they have an puck line mark of 1-4 while going 2-3 straight up.

Lightning vs Golden Knights Prediction

When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Golden Knights to come out with a win against the Lightning while playing at home. Considering the moneyline odds at -139, I’m placing my bet on the Golden Knights to win outright.

If you’re looking for a puck line bet, I’d suggest going with the Lightning to cover. Even in the event of a Golden Knights victory, this game is expected to be closely fought, and the Lightning should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.