Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Arizona Coyotes NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Arizona Coyotes Prediction 2/21/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (30-16-8) travel to face off against the Arizona Coyotes (23-28-4) on Wednesday, February 21st. This game will be played at Mullett Arena in Tempe and televised on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Coyotes are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oilers. Puck drop is set for 10:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Coyotes

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

On the season, the Maple Leafs are 30-16-8 overall, which has them in 5th place in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Atlantic Division, the Leafs are 3rd. Toronto has won four straight games and is 8-2 in their last ten.

When playing on the road, the Maple Leafs are 15-6-6, and they have been favored in 45 of their 54 games this year. As the favorite, Toronto has gone 26-12-7. In the Eastern Conference, the Leafs have a record of 11-17.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone 18-36 against the puck line and 12-33 as the favorite. Toronto’s average scoring margin this year is +.5 goals per game, and they have 16 wins by multiple goals.

Over their last ten games, the Leafs have gone 5-5 against the puck line, and their road puck line record is 9-18. So far, Toronto has 14 wins by a single goal, and their average scoring margin on the road is +.4 goals per game.

The Maple Leafs are coming off a 4-2 road win over the Blues. In the opening period, the Maple Leafs couldn’t find the net on offense, but they rebounded with one time in the second period and three goals in the third. Toronto finished with one power-play goals, while they also managed to score one time when shorthanded. Their game concluded with 29 shots on goal.

Toronto also picked up a win against the puck line, coming into the game favored by -1.5. With a combined total of 6 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

The Arizona Coyotes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At 23-28-4, the Coyotes are in 7th place in the Central Division and 13th in the Western Conference. They have lost ten straight games and have gone 0-5 in their last five games. At home, Arizona is 15-13-0 this season and has a four-game home losing streak.

As the underdog, the Coyotes have gone 13-27-3 this season and have lost five straight games when they are the underdog. In games against teams in the Western Conference, Arizona has gone 14-19 this season.

At home this season, the Coyotes have a puck line record of 13-15 and an average scoring margin of -0.1 goals per game. So far, they have been the underdog in 43 of their games, and their puck line record as the underdog is 23-20.

Overall, Arizona has gone 28-27 against the puck line, including a record of 3-7 in their last ten games. In their last five games, the Coyotes’ puck line record is just 1-4, and they have dropped their last three games at home vs. the puck line.

Following a 6-3 loss at home to the Oilers, the Coyotes are eager to bounce back. Scoring-wise, the Coyotes put up one goal during the first period and two times in the second period. Of Arizona’s three goals, one were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 25 shots on goal and five giveaways.

Arizona entered as the underdog and suffered both a straight-up loss and did not cover the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 9 goals.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 5th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. So far this year, the Maple Leafs are 16-8 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 12-7 in games with fewer shots on goal.

This season, the over/under record for the Maple Leafs’ is 28-24-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 29 games that exceeded the over/under line of 6.5. On average, their games are averaging 6.8 goals per game.

Coyotes Offense Breakdown

arizona coyotes

On offense, the Coyotes are averaging 2.9 goals per game which is 24th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 30th in the league. The Coyotes went 10-4 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 13-21.

The Coyotes come in with an over/under record of 29-23-3. Over the season, there have been 28 games that have surpassed the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.1 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

The Maple Leafs defense is currently 25th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 5th with 4 shutouts.

Arizona Team Defense

Defensively, the Coyotes come into the season ranked 9th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 31.9 shots per game against Arizona. For the season, they are ranked 3rd in shutouts, coming in with 6 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Coyotes Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Maple Leafs offense has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing an average of 2. Toronto posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Arizona has an puck line mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 2 goals per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Coyotes have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 1-4.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 8-2. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 4-6.

Maple Leafs vs Coyotes Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Coyotes to defeat the Maple Leafs while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at +169, I’m placing a wager on the Coyotes to win outright.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Coyotes winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Coyotes straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.