Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction 4/30/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10) travel to face off against the Boston Bruins (47-20-15) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on ESPN. Both the Maple Leafs and Bruins will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

On the road this season, the Maple Leafs have gone 24-11-6, and they have lost two straight games. In the Eastern Conference, Toronto is in fifth place, and in the Atlantic Division, they are in third place. Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone just 3-7, and they are 46-26-10 overall.

As the underdog, Toronto has gone 7-8-2 this season, and they have lost two straight games when they have been the underdog. Against the Eastern Conference, the Maple Leafs have gone 22-28, and they have gone 39-18-8 when they have been favored this season.

On the road this season, the Maple Leafs have a puck line record of 18-23 and 27 of their wins have been by multiple goals. So far, Toronto has an average scoring margin of +.6 goals per game.

Overall, the Maple Leafs have gone 32-50 against the puck line, including a mark of 21-44 when favored. In their last ten games, Toronto’s puck line record is just 2-8, and they have dropped four straight games vs. the puck line.

In their most recent game, the Maple Leafs fell to the Lightning on the road by a score of 6-4. Against the Lightning, the Maple Leafs scored one goal in the first period and three times in the 3rd period. All four goals came at even strength. They finished with 38 shots on goal and had 4 turnovers.

Toronto entered as the underdog and suffered both a straight-up loss and did not cover the puck line. With a combined total of 10 goals, the teams exceeded the over/under line of 6.5 goals set for the game.

The Boston Bruins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Bruins have gone 24-11-6, and they have dropped their last two games at home. In the Atlantic Division, Boston is in second place, and they have gone 18-8 in divisional games. Overall, the Bruins are 47-20-15, and they have gone 38-18-11 as the favorite.

In the Eastern Conference, Boston is in fourth place, and they have gone 30-20 against the rest of the conference. Over their last ten games, the Bruins are 6-4, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five games.

At home this season, the Bruins have a puck line record of 19-22 and an average scoring margin of +.7 goals per game. So far, Boston has had multiple-goal wins in 31 of their games, and they have gone 5-5 against the puck line in their last ten games.

Overall, the Bruins have a puck line record of 39-43, and they have gone 26-41 against the puck line when favored. In their last three games, Boston has gone 2-1 vs. the puck line.

The Bruins are looking to bounce back from a 3-1 loss at home to the Senators. In the first and second periods, the Bruins didn’t score a goal, but they managed to break the drought with one goal in the third period. During power plays, the team scored one goal. In total, they recorded 35 shots on goal and had 11 giveaways.

Boston took a loss against the puck line, going into the game as the favorites with a -1.5-point advantage. Combining for 4 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 2nd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs are 24-14 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 20-10 record.

So far, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 45-35-2. Coming into the game, they have played 54 games that went beyond the 5.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.9 goals per game.

Bruins Offense Breakdown

boston bruins

For their offensive performance, the Bruins come in averaging 3.2 goals per game this season, which is 14th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 21st in the league. This season, the Bruins are 18-3 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 27-16 record.

The Bruins’ over/under record this season is 37-44-1. For the season, they have had 44 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 5.5. Overall, their games are averaging 6 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 17th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 12th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Boston Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Bruins head into the game ranked 10th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 30.4 shots per game against Boston. So far, they are 11th in shutouts, achieving 5 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Boston has an puck line record of 1-4 while averaging 2 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Bruins have an puck line mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Boston posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have a straight up record of 5-5 and an puck line mark of 4-6.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Bruins to defeat the Maple Leafs while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at -166, I’m placing a wager on the Bruins to win outright.

For my recommended choice in the puck line, I’m leaning towards the Maple Leafs to cover. Even if the Bruins secure a straight-up win, this game is expected to be tightly contested, and the Maple Leafs should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.