Graphic Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Prediction 2/10/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (26-15-8) travel to face off against the Ottawa Senators (20-25-2) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at Canadian Tire Centre in Ottawa and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Senators

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

Through 49 games, the Maple Leafs are 26-15-8 and sit in 5th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in 3rd place and has gone 6-8 against divisional opponents. On the road, the Maple Leafs are 14-5-6 this season and have won two straight games away from home.

Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone 5-5 and is 22-11-7 when favored. Against other Eastern Conference teams, the Maple Leafs have gone 10-16 this season.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone 15-34 against the puck line, including 2-8 over their last ten games. So far, Toronto has been favored in 40 of their 49 games, and their average scoring differential this year is +.3 goals per game.

When playing on the road, the Maple Leafs have gone just 8-17 against the puck line, and their average scoring margin is +.4 goals per game. Over their last ten road games, the team has gone just 4-6 against the puck line.

In their recent matchup, the Maple Leafs hosted the Stars and came away with a 5-4 victory. Offensively, the Maple Leafs’ offense scored in each period against the Stars. Of Toronto’s five goals, three were scored while in power play situations. Their game ended with 31 shots on goal and 14 giveaways.

Although Toronto secured a straight-up win, they did not cover the puck line, as they were favored by -1.5. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals, with a combined total of 9 goals.

The Ottawa Senators Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Senators have gone 13-12-2, and they are currently on a two-game win streak. In the Eastern Conference, Ottawa is in 15th place and 8th in the Atlantic Division. Overall, they have a record of 20-25-2, and in their last ten games, they have gone 6-4. As the underdog, the Senators have gone 8-16-2 this season.

Over their last five games, Ottawa has gone 3-2, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three matchups. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Senators have gone 15-14 this season. For the year, Ottawa has been the underdog in 26 of their 47 games.

At home, Ottawa has gone 12-15 against the puck line this season, and they have an average scoring margin of -.1 goals per game. So far, the Senators have had 14 wins by multiple goals and have lost by more than one goal in 20 games.

Overall, Ottawa’s puck line record is 21-26, and they have gone 6-4 against the puck line in their last ten games. As the underdog, the Senators have gone 13-13 against the puck line, including winning their last four games as the underdog.

In their most recent matchup, the Senators played against the Red Wings and won with a score of 3-2. In terms of offense, the Senators faced a dry spell in the first and third periods against the Red Wings, but they managed to score two times in the second period. In the game, Ottawa managed to score all three goals at even strength. They concluded with 25 shots on goal and committed 5 turnovers.

Despite being the underdog, Ottawa managed to secure a win against the puck line in the game. The game ended below the over/under line of 7, with a combined total of 5 goals.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.4 goals per game which is 7th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 5th in the league. This season, the Maple Leafs are 13-7 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 11-7 record.

This season, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 25-22-2. Throughout the season, they have played 26 games that went over the 6.5 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is 6.7 per game.

Senators Offense Breakdown

ottawa senators

Offensively, the Senators come into the game at 3.3 goals per contest placing 15th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 16th position in the league. Looking at how the Senators’ offense is performing during power plays, they are 22nd in power play goals and 20th in shorthanded goals.

So far, the Senators have an over/under record of 26-18-3. Coming into the game, they have played 29 games that went beyond the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 7 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 20th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.3 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 5th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Ottawa Team Defense

Ottawa defense takes on the Maple Leafs ranked 28th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 30.2 shots per game against Ottawa. They also are 27th in shutouts, with 1 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Senators Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 2-1 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Ottawa has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • Ottawa has done well both straight up and vs the puck line when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 puck line in their last three games.
  • Across their last three matchups as the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have an overall record of 2-1 while going 0-3 against the spread.

Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Maple Leafs to secure a victory over the Senators on the road. With the moneyline currently set at -140, I’m locking in my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

For my recommended choice in the puck line, I’m leaning towards the Senators to cover. Even if the Maple Leafs secure a straight-up win, this game is expected to be tightly contested, and the Senators should cover the puck line.

For those looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.