Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Betting prediction

NHL Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 1/11/2024

The Ottawa Senators (14-22-0) travel to face off against the Buffalo Sabres (17-20-4) on Thursday, January 11th. This game will be played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo and televised on ESPN+. Both the Senators and Sabres will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres

The Ottawa Senators Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

With a record of 14-22-0, the Ottawa Senators are in 8th place in the Atlantic Division and 16th place in the Eastern Conference. They have lost four straight games and have gone 3-7 in their last ten games. On the road, the Senators have gone 4-12-0 this season.

When playing against other Eastern Conference teams, Ottawa has gone 11-11 this season. As the underdog, the Senators have gone 6-14-0 this season. Over their last five games, Ottawa has gone 1-4.

As the underdog, Ottawa has a puck line record of 9-11 on the road and 15-21 overall. Their average scoring margin for the season sits at -.3 goals per game, and they have 11 wins by multiple goals compared to 17 losses by more than one goal.

So far this season, the Senators have been the underdog in 20 of their games and have gone 2-8 against the puck line in their last ten games. Overall, the team’s puck line record is 6-10 when they are the underdog.

Coming off a 6-3 loss on the road to the Flames, the Senators are hoping to bounce back today. Scoring-wise, the Senators put up two goals during the first period and one time in the second period. Ottawa’s one power-play goals contributed to their total of 3 goals. Their offensive performance came with 33 shots on goal and seven giveaways.

As the underdog, Ottawa suffered both a straight-up and loss vs. the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 9 goals.

The Buffalo Sabres Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Buffalo enters today’s game with a record of 17-20-4, which puts them 14th in the Eastern Conference and 7th in the Atlantic Division. Over their last ten games, the Sabres have gone 4-6, and they have gone 8-10-1 at home this season.

So far this year, Buffalo has been the favorite in 14 of their 41 games, and they have gone 7-6-1 in those games. Over their last five games, the Sabres have gone 3-2.

Buffalo enters the game with an overall puck line record of 20-21 and a puck line record at home of 6-13. Over their last ten games at home, the Sabres are just 3-7 against the puck line.

So far this season, Buffalo has 12 wins by multiple goals and 15 losses by more than one goal. When playing at home, the team’s average scoring margin is at -0.5 goals per game.

The Sabres are looking to bounce back from a 5-2 loss at home to the Kraken. In the offensive department, the Sabres notched one goal during the first period and one time in the second period. In the game, Buffalo managed to score all two goals at even strength. They concluded with 38 shots on goal and committed 4 turnovers.

Buffalo was favored by -1.5 giving them a loss vs. the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 7 goals.

Ottawa Offense Breakdown

When looking at their offense, the Senators have an average of 3.3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 26th in the league. This season, the Senators are 8-13 when getting more shots on goal than their opponents. And in games with fewer shots on goal, they have a 6-9 record.

The Senators have posted an over/under record of 19-14-3 so far this season. During last season, they participated in 41 games that did not exceed the over/under line set at 7. On average, their games had 6.5 goals per game.

Buffalo Offense Breakdown

On the offensive side, the Sabres are scoring an 3 goals per game this season, ranking 19th in the NHL. When it came to shots on target per game, they are 8th in the league. So far this year, the Sabres are 11-12 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 6-8 in games with fewer shots on goal.

This season, the Sabres’ have an over/under record of 18-22-1. Throughout the season, they have played 23 games that did not exceed the 7 over/under line. On average, their games are averaging 6.4 goals per game.

Ottawa Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Senators head into the game ranked 27th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31.5 shots per game against Ottawa. So far, they are 25th in shutouts, achieving 1 shutouts.

Buffalo Team Defense

The Sabres defense is currently 18th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.6 shots per game against Buffalo. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 27th with 1 shutouts.

Senators vs Sabres Trends

  • Across the Senators last three road games, the team averaged 1 goals per game while allowing 4. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • In their last three games at home, the Sabres have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 2 goals per game in these contests.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Sabres have a straight up record of 2-3 and an puck line mark of 3-2.
  • The last ten games that Ottawa was favored, they have an puck line mark of 3-7 while going 5-5 straight up.

Senators vs Sabres Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Senators to defeat the Sabres while playing on the road. Given the current moneyline odds at +111, I’m placing a wager on the Senators to win outright.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Senators winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Senators straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 7 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.