Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Ottawa Senators vs Buffalo Sabres Prediction 3/27/2024

The Ottawa Senators (30-36-4) travel to face off against the Buffalo Sabres (34-33-5) on Wednesday, March 27th. This game will be played at KeyBank Center in Buffalo and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Senators vs Sabres

ottawa senators nhl

The Ottawa Senators Are Coming Off A Win

As the season winds down, the Ottawa Senators find themselves in 15th place in the Eastern Conference with a record of 30-36-4. In their last ten games, the Senators have gone 5-5, and they have won their last two games as the underdog. On the road, Ottawa has gone just 11-20-2.

Over the course of the season, the Senators have been the underdog in 39 of their 70 games and have gone 15-20-4 in those games. In the Eastern Conference, Ottawa has gone 22-19, and in the Atlantic Division, they have gone 11-9. Against the Sabres this season, the Senators have gone 2-1.

On the road, Ottawa has a puck line record of 14-19 this year and 31-39 overall. So far, they have gone 20-28 in games decided by more than one goal.

Overall, the Senators have an average scoring margin of -.3 goals per game, and they have been the underdog in 39 games, going 22-17 vs. the puck line as the underdog. Over their last ten games, Ottawa has gone 5-5 vs. the puck line.

In their most recent game, the Senators faced the Oilers and came out victorious with a score of 5-3. In every single period, the Senators’ offense scored a goal against the Oilers. Out of Ottawa’s five goals, three were scored during power plays. They concluded the game with 16 shots on goal and had 16 giveaways.

Ottawa was the underdog going into the game and picked up a win against the puck line. The combined total of 8 goals exceeded the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals for the game.

The Buffalo Sabres Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Sabres have gone 17-17-1, and they enter this game on a three-game winning streak at home. For the season, Buffalo is 34-33-5, and they are 12th in the Eastern Conference standings. In the Atlantic Division, the Sabres are in 6th place, and they have gone 10-11 against divisional foes.

Over their last ten games, Buffalo has gone 5-5, and they have gone 2-3 over their last five games. As the favorite this season, the Sabres have gone 15-10-1, and they have been favored in 26 of their 72 games this year. When playing against other Eastern Conference teams, Buffalo has gone 19-22.

Buffalo enters this game with a puck line record of 40-32, including going 7-3 in their last ten games. Overall, the Sabres have 23 wins by multiple goals compared to 11 wins by just one goal.

So far this season, Buffalo has been favored in 26 games and has a puck line record of 9-17 in those games. At home, the Sabres have a puck line record of 17-18 and their average scoring margin at home is +.2 goals per game.

In their most recent matchup, the Sabres played against the Flames and won with a score of 4-1. The Sabres scored one goal in the first period against the Flames and found the net three times in the 3rd period. All four goals came at even strength. They finished with 29 shots on goal and had 10 turnovers.

Buffalo secured a win against the puck line, entering the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. With a combined total of 5 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.

Ottawa Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Senators are averaging 3.2 goals per game which is 15th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 13th in the league. The Senators went 18-23 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 10-13.

The Senators’ over/under record this season is 38-29-3. For the season, they have had 41 games that surpassed this game’s over/under line of 6.5. Overall, their games are averaging6.8 goals per game.

Sabres Offense Breakdown

buffalo sabres

For their offensive performance, the Sabres come in averaging 3 goals per game this season, which is 20th in the NHL. In the category of shots on goal per game, they are 14th in the league. Coming into the game, the Sabres have a 19-20 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 13-13.

The Sabres come in with an over/under record of 28-42-2. Over the course of the season, they have had 44 games failing to surpass the 6.5 goal over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is at 6 per game.

Ottawa Team Defense

Defensively, the Senators come into the season ranked 27th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.8 shots per game against Ottawa. For the season, they are ranked 28th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.

Buffalo Team Defense

Defensively, the Sabres are currently 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29 shots per game against Buffalo. They also are 8th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Senators vs Sabres Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Ottawa has an puck line record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • When looking at their past three matchups at home, Buffalo has an puck line record of 3-0 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Sabres have an puck line record of 4-1 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Senators have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 1-9.

Senators vs Sabres Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Sabres to defeat the Senators while playing at home. Given the current moneyline odds at -138, I’m placing a wager on the Sabres to win outright.

For my recommended choice in the puck line, I’m leaning towards the Senators to cover. Even if the Sabres secure a straight-up win, this game is expected to be tightly contested, and the Senators should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.