Pittsburgh Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Penguins vs Vegas Golden Knights Prediction 3/7/2025

The Pittsburgh Penguins (24-30-10) travel to face off against the Vegas Golden Knights (37-18-6) on Friday, March 7th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Puck drop is set for 10:00 ET.

Penguins vs Golden Knights

pittsburgh penguins nhl

The Pittsburgh Penguins Are Coming Off A Win

Pittsburgh improved to 24-30-10 with a 3-1 road win over the Canadiens. The Penguins, favored by -1.5 goals, covered the puck line. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 4 fell short of that mark.

Sidney Crosby led the way with two goals, while Blake Lizotte added an empty-netter to seal the victory. The Penguins’ defense held Montreal scoreless until the third period.

The Vegas Golden Knights Are Coming Off A Win

Vegas improved to 37-18-6 with a 4-3 overtime win against Utah. The Golden Knights trailed 2-0 before rallying with four different players finding the net. As -1.5 goal favorites, Vegas failed to cover the puck line. The total of 7 goals surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5.

Pavel Dorofeyev started the comeback, scoring at 15:06 in the second period. Vegas tied it up with just one second left in the second, thanks to a goal from Noah Hanifin. Brett Howden secured the win with a goal at 2:15 in overtime.

Pittsburgh Offense Breakdown

Sidney Crosby led the way for the Penguins with two goals, including his fifth of the season on a power play. Blake Lizotte added his second goal of the year, finding the net on his only shot, with an empty-netter at 19:15 in the third period.

Pittsburgh took 24 shots on goal and recorded 14 giveaways. They scored their first goal 4:03 into the game, and their second came at 1:20 in the second period.

Golden Knights Offense Breakdown

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Vegas fired 35 shots on goal in their 4-3 overtime win against Utah, with Brett Howden netting his 6th goal of the season at 2:15 into overtime. The Golden Knights were held scoreless in the first period before Pavel Dorofeyev scored his 7th goal, followed by Noah Hanifin’s 2nd goal of the season.

William Karlsson added his 2nd goal of the year in the third period. Hanifin also picked up two assists, bringing his total to 5 this season. Vegas finished the game with 13 giveaways.

Pittsburgh Team Defense

Defensively, the Penguins will look to build off their last game, where they allowed just 1 goal to the Canadiens. Alex Nedeljkovic made 25 saves, posting a 96.2% save percentage. The Penguins’ defense also recorded 5 takeaways, 19 hits, and 19 blocks. The only goal they allowed came at the 5:32 mark of the 3rd period.

Vegas Team Defense

Defensively, Vegas will look to improve after allowing the first two goals in their previous game, and another late in the 3rd period. Adin Hill had 16 saves with a save percentage of 84.2%. The Golden Knights’ defense also recorded 10 takeaways and 22 hits.

Penguins vs Golden Knights Trends

  • Although Pittsburgh has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three road games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 1-2. The team averaged 1 goals per game in these games.
  • In their last five home games, Vegas has averaged 3 goals per game while allowing 2. The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Vegas has an puck line mark of 2-1 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Pittsburgh has an puck line mark of 0-3 while going 1-2 straight up.

Penguins vs Golden Knights Prediction

To those searching for a pure moneyline wager, the Golden Knights is the clear pick. Still, with a payout of -246, it’s worth thinking about including this bet in a parlay.

When it comes to my suggested pick for the puck line, I’d advise taking the Penguins to cover. Even in the event of a Golden Knights victory, this matchup is likely to remain closely contested, and the Penguins should cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 6.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.