The Ottawa Senators (29-20-4) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (27-20-4) on Tuesday, February 4th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. The Senators are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Jets. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.
Senators vs Lightning
The Ottawa Senators Are Coming Off A Win
Ottawa improved to 29-20-4 with a 3-0 win over the Kraken. The Senators, favored by -1.5 goals, covered the puck line. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined 3 goals fell well short of that number.
All three of Ottawa’s goals came from different players, with Tim Stützle’s goal at 17:46 in the third period sealing the win. Adam Gaudette scored first for the Senators at 5:28 in the first period.
The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
The Lightning fell to 27-20-4 after a 7-4 loss to the Jets. Tampa Bay was the underdog on the puck line, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.
Tampa Bay jumped out to a 2-0 lead in the first period, but the Jets responded with seven of the game’s next nine goals. Four different Lightning players scored in the loss.
Ottawa Offense Breakdown
Ottawa’s offense managed 3 goals on 23 shots in their 3-0 win over Seattle. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, followed by Brady Tkachuk, who also netted his 7th. Tim Stützle added an empty-netter, his 6th goal of the year.
Stützle also picked up his 10th assist on Tkachuk’s goal. The Senators recorded 11 giveaways and were held without a power play goal.
Lightning Offense Breakdown
In their 7-4 loss to Winnipeg, Tampa Bay’s offense put 30 shots on goal and scored four times. The Lightning’s first goal came from Brandon Hagel, his 7th of the season, followed by Brayden Point’s 8th, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal, and Nikita Kucherov netted his 10th.
Tampa Bay had 8 giveaways and recorded 4 assists. Jake Guentzel picked up his 8th assist of the season, while Nick Paul added his 7th. Victor Hedman and Kucherov each earned their 10th assist on Point’s power-play goal.
Ottawa Team Defense
On the defensive side, the Senators will look to build off their previous performance, where they gave up 0 goals to the Kraken. Anton Forsberg recorded 22 saves with a 100% save percentage, and the defense added 2 takeaways and 25 hits.
Tampa Bay Team Defense
Defensively, the Lightning gave up the first goal of the game at 7:37 in the first period, and after tying the score at 4-4 in the third, they allowed three straight goals to the Jets. Two of those came on empty nets, but the first was a crucial go-ahead goal at the 12:22 mark. Jonas Johansson finished with 27 saves and a save percentage of 84.4%.
Senators vs Lightning Trends
- Across the Senators last ten road games, the team averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 2. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 5-5, while going 5-5 straight-up.
- Through their last five home games, Tampa Bay has an puck line record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 3 goals per game.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Lightning have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Although the Senators have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the puck line going 2-3.
Senators vs Lightning Prediction
When making a moneyline pick, my choice is the Senators to come out with a win against the Lightning while playing on the road. Considering the moneyline odds at +148, I’m placing my bet on the Senators to win outright.
Our projections have the Senators pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Senators, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.
For those looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our expectation is that this game will surpass that mark, and we suggest making a bet on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 4, 2025 Lightning, Senators