Ottawa Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 2/6/2025

The Ottawa Senators (29-21-4) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (28-20-4) on Thursday, February 6th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. The Senators are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Lightning are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Jets. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Senators vs Lightning

ottawa senators nhl

The Ottawa Senators Are Coming Off A Win

With a 3-0 win over the Kraken, the Senators improved to 29-21-4. Ottawa entered the game as -1.5 goal favorites and covered the puck line. The total was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 3 fell well short.

All three of Ottawa’s goals came from different players, and they kept Seattle off the board. Adam Gaudette scored first for the Senators, finding the net at 14:32 in the first period.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Lightning fell to 28-20-4 after a 7-4 road loss to the Jets. Tampa Bay was the underdog on the puck line, and the total of 11 goals easily surpassed the pre-game line of 6.5 goals.

Tampa Bay held a 2-0 lead early in the game, but the Jets responded with seven of the next nine goals. Four different players scored for the Lightning in the loss.

Ottawa Offense Breakdown

Ottawa’s offense found the net three times in their 3-0 win over Seattle, with Tim Stützle scoring his 6th goal of the season on an empty net. Adam Gaudette opened the scoring, netting his 7th goal at 14:32 in the first period. Brady Tkachuk added his 7th goal as well, 8:49 into the second period.

The Senators took 23 shots on goal and recorded 11 giveaways. They picked up 5 assists, with Tim Stützle earning his 10th assist on Tkachuk’s goal. Michael Amadio added his 2nd assist on Stützle’s empty-netter.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

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Tampa Bay’s offense put up 4 goals on 30 shots in their 7-4 loss to the Jets. Brandon Hagel got things started with his 7th goal of the season, and Brayden Point followed with his 8th, which came on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal, while Nikita Kucherov netted his 10th.

The Lightning had 8 giveaways and recorded 4 assists. Jake Guentzel picked up his 8th assist, and Nick Paul added his 7th. Victor Hedman and Nikita Kucherov each earned their 10th assist of the season.

Ottawa Team Defense

On the defensive side, the Senators will look to build on a strong performance in their last game, where they held Seattle scoreless. Anton Forsberg made 22 saves, posting a 100% save percentage. Ottawa’s defense also contributed 2 takeaways and 25 hits.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Despite a 4-4 tie in the third period, Tampa Bay’s defense couldn’t hold, allowing three late goals, including two empty-netters. Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage.

Senators vs Lightning Trends

  • Across the Senators last ten road games, the team averaged 2 goals per game while allowing 2. Their record vs the puck line in these contests was 5-5, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • In their last three home games, the Lightning have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 3 goals per game in these contests.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Lightning have a strong record vs the puck line going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Senators have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the puck line in these games was 3-7.

Senators vs Lightning Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Senators to secure a victory over the Lightning on the road. With the moneyline currently set at +135, I’m locking in my bet on the Senators straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Senators winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Senators straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.