Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Senators vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction 4/11/2024

The Ottawa Senators (34-40-4) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Lightning (44-27-7) on Thursday, April 11th. This game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa and televised on ESPN+. The Lightning are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Senators are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Panthers. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Senators vs Lightning

ottawa senators nhl

The Ottawa Senators Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Heading into tonight’s game, the Senators are in 14th place in the Eastern Conference and 7th in the Atlantic Division. Their overall record is 34-40-4. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, Ottawa has gone 24-22, and they are 12-11 in division games. On the road, the Senators have gone 14-22-2.

Over their last ten games, Ottawa has gone 6-4, but they have lost four of their last five games and two of their last three. As the underdog, the Senators have gone 18-24-4 this season. Overall, they have been the underdog in 46 of their 78 games.

On the season, Ottawa has an average scoring margin of -.3 goals per game, and they have been the underdog in 46 of their 78 games. Overall, the Senators’ puck line record is 37-41, including going 8-2 against the puck line in their last ten games.

So far, Ottawa has played 30 games that they have lost by multiple goals, and their puck line record as the underdog is 27-19. In their 41 road games this year, the Senators have a puck line record of 18-20, and they have gone 6-4 against the puck line in their last ten road games.

The Senators aim to bounce back following their 2-0 loss on the road to the Panthers. In the game against the Panthers, Ottawa’s offense had a tough time and didn’t score a single goal. While being shutout, the Senators’ offense finished with 7 giveaways and took a total of 26 shots on goal.

Entering the game as the underdog, Ottawa not only suffered a straight-up loss but also failed to cover the puck line. Combining for 2 goals, the game finished below the over/under line of 6.

The Tampa Bay Lightning Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, the Lightning have gone 24-10-4, and they have been favored in 47 of their 78 games. In the Eastern Conference, Tampa Bay is in 6th place with 95 points, and they have gone 25-21 in conference games. Over their last ten games, the Lightning have gone 7-3, and they are 44-27-7 overall.

When they have been favored, Tampa Bay has gone 30-15-2, and they have gone 11-12 against Atlantic Division opponents. At home, the Lightning have gone 24-10-4, and they have gone 3-2 in their last five games. Against the Senators this season, Tampa Bay is 2-1.

At home this year, the Lightning has a puck line record of 22-16, and their average scoring margin at home is +.9 goals per game. On the year, Tampa Bay has 33 wins by multiple goals and their puck line record is 42-36.

Over their last ten home games, the Lightning’s puck line record is 5-5, and their puck line record as the favorite is 22-25. So far, Tampa Bay has gone 3-2 against the puck line in their last five games.

In their previous game, the Lightning hosted the Blue Jackets and game away with a 5-2 win. Against the Blue Jackets, the Lightning’s offense scored in all three periods. Of Tampa Bay’s five goals, one came while in power play. They ended the game with 33 shots on goal and had six giveaways.

Coming into the game favored by -1.5, Tampa Bay also managed to pick up a victory against the puck line. The over/under line going into the game was 6.5 goals, which the teams surpassed with their combined 7 goals.

Ottawa Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Senators come into the game at 3.1 goals per contest placing 15th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are in 11th position in the league. In terms of the Senators’ offense during power plays, they are 18th in power play goals and 18th in shorthanded goals.

This season, the Senators have an over/under record of 40-35-3. Throughout the season, they have played 43 games that went over the 6.5 over/under line. The average number of goals in their games is 6.6 per game.

Lightning Offense Breakdown

tampa bay lightning

The Lightning come into the game scoring an average of 3.5 goals per game, putting them 5th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 22nd in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Lightning offense is 1st in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 23rd in the NHL.

The Lightning come in with an over/under record of 38-36-4. Over the season, there have been 40 games that have surpassed the 6.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, are at 6.8 goals per game.

Ottawa Team Defense

In terms of defense, the Senators head into the game ranked 26th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.5 shots per game against Ottawa. So far, they are 26th in shutouts, achieving 2 shutouts.

Tampa Bay Team Defense

Tampa Bay defense takes on the Senators ranked 24th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.3 shots per game against Tampa Bay. They also are 15th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Senators vs Lightning Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Senators offense has averaged 2 goals per game while allowing an average of 2. Ottawa posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • Across their last three home contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the puck line posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 3 goals per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Lightning have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their puck line record was 5-0 in these scenarios.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Senators have gone 1-9 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.

Senators vs Lightning Prediction

When it comes to a moneyline wager, I’m going with the Senators to defeat the Lightning while playing on the road. Given the current moneyline odds at +167, I’m placing a wager on the Senators to win outright.

Our projections have the Senators pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Senators, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

When considering the over/under line, which is currently at 6.5 goals, we believe that this game will go over that threshold, and we recommend wagering on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.