Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction 3/7/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (36-18-8) travel to face off against the Boston Bruins (36-14-15) on Thursday, March 7th. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bruins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oilers. Puck drop is set for 7:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Are Coming Off A Win

On the season, the Maple Leafs have a record of 36-18-8 and are in 4th place in the Eastern Conference. In the Atlantic Division, Toronto is in 3rd place.

Over their last ten games, the Maple Leafs have gone 8-2 and have won two straight games as the underdog. When playing on the road this season, Toronto has a record of 18-6-6 and has won four straight games.

On the season, the Maple Leafs have gone 22-40 against the puck line, including a road mark of 12-18. So far, Toronto has 19 wins by multiple goals and has dropped 15 games by more than one goal.

Currently, the team’s average scoring margin sits at +.5 goals per contest, and they have gone 6-4 against the puck line in their last ten games. In their last three games, the Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line and have an overall puck line record of 15-37 when favored.

In their previous game, the Maple Leafs hosted the Sabres and game away with a 2-1 win. In terms of offense, the Maple Leafs faced a dry spell in the first and third periods against the Sabres, but they managed to score one time in the second period. In the game, Toronto managed to score all two goals at even strength. They concluded with 27 shots on goal and committed 15 turnovers.

Toronto couldn’t cover the puck line despite the straight-up win, as they entered the game as the favorites with a -1.5 goal advantage. The game ended below the over/under line of 6.5, with a combined total of 3 goals.

The Boston Bruins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At 87 points, the Bruins are in 2nd place in the Eastern Conference and have a record of 36-14-15. Over their last ten games, they are just 4-6, and they have gone 2-3 over their last five games.

When playing at home this season, Boston has a record of 19-8-6. Against other teams in the Eastern Conference, they have gone 20-14.

On the season, the Bruins have gone 32-32 on the puck line, including 25 wins by multiple goals. As the favorite, Boston has gone just 22-32 vs. the puck line, including a current streak of nine games without covering.

At home, the Bruins have gone 16-16 on the puck line this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +.8 goals per game. In their last ten home games, Boston has gone just 2-8 vs. the puck line.

The Bruins aim to bounce back following their 2-1 loss at home to the Oilers. During the initial two periods, the Bruins had trouble scoring on offense, but they turned things around by notching one goal in the third period. For the game, Boston’s only goal came at even strength. Overall, they had 25 shots on goal vs. Edmonton.

As underdogs, Boston suffered a loss but still covered the puck line. With a combined total of 3 goals, the game concluded below the over/under line of 6.5.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 4th spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 4th in the league. So far this year, the Maple Leafs are 20-9 in games they have had more shots on goal than their opponent. They are 14-8 in games with fewer shots on goal.

So far, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 33-27-2. Coming into the game, they have played 34 games that went beyond the 6 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.8 goals per game.

Bruins Offense Breakdown

boston bruins

When looking at their offense, the Bruins have an average of 3.3 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 8th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 14th in the league. The Bruins went 14-1 in games where they had more shots than their opponents. However, in games with fewer shots on goal, their record was 21-12.

The Bruins’ over/under record this season is 31-33-0. For the season, they have had 33 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 6. Overall, their games are averaging 6.1 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Toronto defense takes on the Bruins ranked 20th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are averaging 29.6 shots per game against Toronto. They also are 6th in shutouts, with 4 shutouts.

Boston Team Defense

Defensively, the Bruins are currently 7th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 31.3 shots per game against Boston. They also are 5th in shutouts, coming in with 4 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Toronto has an puck line record of 4-1 while averaging 4 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Although Boston has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the puck line going 1-2. The team averaged 3 goals per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Boston has an puck line mark of 3-0 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Maple Leafs have an puck line mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Toronto posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Maple Leafs to secure a victory over the Bruins on the road. With the moneyline currently set at +118, I’m locking in my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Maple Leafs winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Maple Leafs straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.

With an over/under line sitting at 6 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.