Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins NHL Betting Prediction

NHL Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins Prediction 5/4/2024

The Toronto Maple Leafs (46-26-10) travel to face off against the Boston Bruins (47-20-15) on Saturday, May 4th. This game will be played at TD Garden in Boston and televised on ABC. Both the Maple Leafs and Bruins will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Puck drop is scheduled for 8:00 ET.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins

toronto maple leafs nhl

The Toronto Maple Leafs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

On the road this season, Toronto has gone 24-11-6. In the Eastern Conference, they are in 5th place and 3rd in the Atlantic Division. Overall, the Maple Leafs have a record of 46-26-10.

Over their last ten games, Toronto has gone just 3-7. As the underdog, they have gone 7-8-2 this season and are currently on a two-game losing streak in that situation. In their last five games, the Maple Leafs have gone 3-2.

So far this season, the Maple Leafs have an average scoring margin of +.5 goals per game. Overall, their puck line record is 32-50, including a mark of 21-44 when favored.

On the road, Toronto’s puck line record is 18-23, and they have gone 7-3 against the puck line in their last ten road games. In their last three games, the Maple Leafs have gone 2-1 vs. the puck line.

The Maple Leafs aim to bounce back following their 6-4 loss on the road to the Lightning. After scoring one goal in the first period, the Maple Leafs found the net three times in the 3rd period against the Lightning. All four goals came at even strength. They finished with 38 shots on goal and had 4 turnovers.

Entering the game as the underdog, Toronto not only suffered a straight-up loss but also failed to cover the puck line. The teams surpassed the over/under line, which was set at 6.5 goals, with a combined total of 10 goals.

The Boston Bruins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

At home this season, the Bruins have gone 24-11-6, and they have dropped their last two games on home ice. In the Eastern Conference, Boston is in fourth place and second in the Atlantic Division. Overall, the Bruins are 47-20-15, and they have gone 30-20 against other teams in the East.

Over their last ten games, the Bruins have gone just 4-6, and they have lost two straight games as the favorite. On the year, Boston has been favored in 67 of their 82 games and have a record of 38-18-11 in those games. Against other teams in the Atlantic Division, the Bruins have gone 18-8.

When playing at home, the Bruins have gone just 2-8 against the puck line in their last ten games. Overall, their puck line record is 39-43, including going 19-22 at home. Boston has won 31 games by multiple goals compared to just 16 by a single goal.

So far this season, the Bruins have been favored in 67 of their games and have a puck line record of 26-41 when favored. In their last ten games, Boston’s puck line record is 4-6.

After suffering a 3-1 loss at home to the Senators, the Bruins are looking to bounce back today. The first two periods saw the Bruins struggling to find the net on offense, but they turned things around by scoring one goal in the third period. The team’s one goal were the result of a power play. Throughout the game, they managed to register 35 shots on goal and committed 11 giveaways.

Boston went into the game favored by -1.5, giving them a loss vs. the puck line. The game finished below the over/under line of 6 with a combined total of 4 goals.

Toronto Offense Breakdown

In terms of their offensive performance, the Maple Leafs are averaging 3.6 goals per game this season, putting them in the 2nd spot in the NHL. When it comes to shots on goal per game, they are ranked 7th in the league. Coming into the game, the Maple Leafs have a 24-14 record when they have more shots on goal than their opponent. When they have fewer shots on goal, they are 20-10.

So far, the Maple Leafs have an over/under record of 45-35-2. Coming into the game, they have played 54 games that went beyond the 5.5 over/under line. Their games, on average, had 6.9 goals per game.

Bruins Offense Breakdown

boston bruins

The Bruins come into the game scoring an average of 3.2 goals per game, putting them 14th in the NHL. Regarding shots targeted at the goal per game, they are 21st in the league. In terms of power play goals, the Bruins offense is 15th in power play goals. As for shorthanded goals, they are 13th in the NHL.

The Bruins’ over/under record this season is 37-44-1. For the season, they have had 44 games failing to surpass this game’s over/under line of 5.5. Overall, their games are averaging 6 goals per game.

Toronto Team Defense

Defensively, the Maple Leafs come into the season ranked 17th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 29.7 shots per game against Toronto. For the season, they are ranked 12th in shutouts, coming in with 5 shutouts.

Boston Team Defense

The Bruins defense is currently 10th in goals allowed. Opponents are averaging 30.4 shots per game against Boston. In terms of shutouts, they come into the game ranked 11th with 5 shutouts.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Trends

  • The Maple Leafs are 2-1 puck line in their three last road games and 2-1 straight-up.
  • Although Boston has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the puck line going 1-4. The team averaged 2 goals per game in these games.
  • The Bruins have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • The last ten games that Toronto was favored, they have an puck line mark of 4-6 while going 5-5 straight up.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Prediction

For a moneyline bet, I’m backing the Maple Leafs to secure a victory over the Bruins on the road. With the moneyline currently set at +119, I’m locking in my bet on the Maple Leafs straight-up.

Our projections have the Maple Leafs pulling out a win as the underdog. But if you’re not as bullish as we are on the Maple Leafs, we’d recommend at least getting a bet down on them to cover the puck line.

If you’re looking at the over/under line set at 5.5 goals, our prediction is that this game will exceed that mark, and we strongly advise placing a bet on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.