While we know stats and trends matter, sometimes the outcome of a game defies logic, expectations, and stats. Yesterday, our same-game parlay benefited and collapsed from an over-focus on stats and potential rather than intangibles like momentum.
We successfully predicted the New York Yankees would beat the Dads of San Diego, which they did with a 10-7 victory by following the stats.
However, we didn’t account for the current form and relied on the potential in the line-up when we picked the over of 8.5 in the Toronto Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins matchup, which the Jays won 3-0.
Our third pick was to take the Chicago Cubs to avoid the sweep at home against the Cincinnati Reds. We stated that “the Cubs’ offense is going to come alive,” which it did, but expected a win as a result, not the 8-5 loss the Reds hung on Chicago.
We start our week with an unsuccessful attempt to reclaim our long-lost Parlay Blog Championship and a 1-2 record on individual picks.
However, it’s a huge night on the calendar, and we’re returning to BOTH Conference FInals for Monday’s multi-game parlay.
Dallas Stars over Vegas Golden Knights (-125)
Do you believe in magic or intangibles like momentum?
Considering what we’re seeing from the Dallas Stars and Boston Celtics this postseason, even the most ardent skeptics might become believers.
The Dallas Stars are trying to capture and replicate the success the Boston Celtics are having in the NBA by trying to force an improbable game seven and shift the focus to the Vegas Golden Knights.
The Stars hold a 5-3 head-to-head advantage in the season series, while the home team and moneyline favorite are 4-1 in the last five games.
Vegas Golden Knights are 2-5 in the previous seven meetings in Dallas.
Let’s ride with the Stars to force a game seven.
Miami Heat versus Boston Celtics Over 203.5 (-110)
We’ve stated that we are not betting against Playoff Jimmy. We’re not betting against the Boston Celtics and their momentum and have declared that “if the Celtics won game six, they’ll win game seven.”
We’re focusing on the total points line, which is quite low, considering nine of the last ten games have easily surpassed 204 points.
It’s game seven, and the pressure is up and understand a slower-paced, lower-scoring game, but with the Celtics offense shooting better on three-point attempts, we’re following the trends and taking the over, even if it’s by 0.5 points.
We’re taking the over in game seven.
Miami Heat +7.5 over Boston Celtics (-110)
The Heat have a 43-54-2 ats record, while the Celtics have a 55-45-1 ats record this season.
Miami has covered the spread in six of the ten matchups this season. The Heat might be suffering through injury and depth issues, but they’ll still keep this close.
We’re taking Miami to valiantly cover the spread in a losing effort.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.