Last night, we put our parlay betting blog championship on the line with two potential misses in our three picks.
There was no way the new-look New York Rangers and the McDavid’s if Edmonton were going to hit the under. And we were right! However, despite the games being close to call, we were optimistic about our other picks.
The New York Islanders came from behind, scoring two goals in the third to defeat the Pittsburgh Penguins 5-4, while Dallas and Minnesota went to a shootout, with the Wild taking home a 2-1 win. That drops our weekly parlay record to 2-4 but 11-7 on individual picks.
While missing our parlay in two different one-goal games hurts, and we’ve again lost our championship, we’ll one day extend our winning streak and championship defense streak past one. But we need to regain our lost title to do that.
We’re going to reclaim our lost crown going to where we have the hometown advantage: the same game parlay. While our black and goal security blanket, the Boston Bruins, is playing on Saturday, and there is a great same-game parlay option featuring Tampa Bay, we’re heading out West to the best coast to check in on another parlay blog staple.
Buffalo Sabres over San Jose Sharks (-125)
Buffalo ended a four-game losing streak, smashing the Anaheim Ducks 7-3 on February 15. The Sabres are 6-4 in the last ten games.
Buffalo is ranked second, averaging 3.7 goals per game, and has the fifth-best powerplay, converting at 25.1%. The Sabres are ranked 25th, giving up 3.5 goals per game, and have the4 30th-ranked penalty kill operating at 72.8%.
The difference in those statistical splits is hysterical and makes actually watching the Sabres a lot of fun.
San Jose is riding a two-game losing streak, has lost three of the last five games, and has a 3-7 straight-up record in the last ten.
San Jose’s second-ranked penalty kill (83.3%) will have its hands full with the Sabres’ powerplay, while San Jose gives up 3.6 goals per game (29th overall). The Sharks have ranked 23rd in scoring, averaging 3.0 goals per game, and on the powerplay, converting at 19.7%.
The favorite is 4-0 in the last four matchups. However, not all betting trends favor the Sabres. Buffalo is 1-4 in the last five games in San Jose, while the home team is 8-3 in the last 11.
We’re taking the Buffalo Sabres to build another winning streak this season and keep fighting for a final Wild Card sport in the Eastern Conference. Take the Sabres on the moneyline.
Buffalo Sabres -1.5 over San Jose Sharks (+175)
Buffalo’s last four games ended with at least a 1.5-goal spread. The Sabres covered the spread in the two games in the last ten when they’ve faced a total goals line of 7.0.
In fact, the only teams to keep Buffalo to a one-goal final spread is a cast of expected characters: the Minnesota Wild, Winnipeg Jets, Dallas Stars, and New York Islanders.
San Jose is 3-2 ats in the last five games and 6-4 ats in the last ten.
We expect the Sabres to find enough scoring chances to beach the Sharks while getting good enough goaltending from projected starter Craig Anderson to get the win and cover the spread.
We’re going all blue and gold in this one: take the Sabres -1.5 on the puck line spread.
Buffalo Sabres vs San Jose Sharks Over 7.0 (+100)
Buffalo has but the over in three straight games, a 5-5 over/under record in the last ten games, and a 30-22-1 over/under record. The Sabres have faced a 7.0 total goals line twice in the last ten games and hit the over in both games.
Conversely, San Jose has hit the under in four-straight games, has a 3-6-1 over/under record in the last ten games, and has a 34-20-2 over/under record. The Sharks faced a 7.0 total goals line three times in the last ten games and have an 0-2-1 record.
However, none of those teams were the highly offensive but terrible defensively Buffalo Sabres.
The over is 4-0 in the last four meetings between Buffalo and San Jose, while the over is 5-0 in the Sabres’ last five games against the Pacific Division.
We’re taking the Sabres and Sharks to hit the over of 7.0 total goals.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.