Last night, we focused our attention on Brooklyn and featured the Philadelphia 76ers and Brooklyn Nets for our same-game parlay. With a 101-98 victory, our selection of the 76ers to win on the moneyline and cover the -1.5 spread was correct! However, Brooklyn and Philly came nowhere close to hitting the over on a total points betting line of 224.5, causing our parlay to miss in the end.
After going winless last week and our legendary losing streak continuing, with some very close calls along the way, we begin our week with a same-game parlay on the only game in sports that matters: Super Bowl LVII.
Philadelphia Eagles over Kansas City Chiefs (-141)
Whoever placed the first $1 million bet on the Eagles to win the Super Bowl was a betting expert with expert insight and a thorough analysis of the stats and trends, right? Because when we follow stats and trends, we are victimized by upsets and poor performances, and we’re desperate for a win. Let’s follow whoever placed that $1 million bet and take the Eagles on the moneyline.
That is NOT our logic for taking the Eagles, but it is as good as any when the teams are evenly matched and in a game where Patrick Mahomes is the guy your betting against. It’s a toss-up, but we’re taking the Philadelphia Eagles’ excellent defense to do enough to stop Mahomes and give Jalen Hurts and the offense to win.
Statistically speaking, the Eagles’ defense is a bad matchup for the Chiefs’ offense in most metrics. However, we think Philly’s third-ranked defense in turnovers will force a turnover or two, which will swing 3-10 points in Philly’s favor and give them the win in the end.
Fly Eagles Fly at -141.
Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (-105)
There has been a lot of movement on the point spread since the lines were released after the NFC and AFC championship games. The Eagles at -1.5 seemed like a very reasonable and smart pick, especially to parlay with the Eagles on the moneyline.
However, as more money has come in, the line has shifted toward Philly, with the point spread now at -3.5 points. This spread is now high enough were we have a very tough decision to make, while neither team has an excellent ats record this season, with Kansas City going 6-12-1 ats and Philadelphia going 10-9 ats.
This game could come down to the final possession and a field goal kick to win it. However, we see the clock winding down as Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs’ offense is frantically searching for last-second magic and needing a touchdown to win.
We’re going all Eagles here and taking the Eagles to win by four, just covering the spread in the process.
Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles Over 51.0 Points (-110)
While the Super Bowl brings extra pressure and attention, we have seen prolific offenses regularly struggle to score on one of the biggest stages in sports. We’ve seen offenses falter, whether it was great defensive schemes and performances or big-game pressure.
Both defenses have had an extra week of preparations to prepare for two of the top three scoring offenses in football.
We don’t think the moment or game is too big for either team’s offense. The over is 4-1 in the last five head-to-head meetings, but that doesn’t mean much for the present game or teams.
With both teams averaging over 28 points a game this season, we expect there to be scoring in every quarter, with the Eagles winning Super Bowl LVII 28-24 and barely passing the over.
As they say in Philly, “Go Birds.” Grease the light poles in preparation for another wild Championship celebration in Philly tonight.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.